TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.43
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191210––––
Filip Zurek
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 62 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Michal Koral at 66.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 4–1 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Koral beat Zurek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Koral
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1547 vs Zurek 1489
Koral
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 100% vs Zurek 60%
Koral
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 90% vs Zurek 60%
Koral
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +6 · Zurek +2
Koral
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Koral)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.43 / Zurek 2.60
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Koral)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169766
Koral1.43
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 44 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Zurek2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 102 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back32% 37 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKoral4wins
AwayZurek1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKoral leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoral66.7%2 of 3
AwayZurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral3Zurek2n = 5Koral took 3 of 5
S2Koral4Zurek1n = 5Koral took 4 of 5
S3Koral4Zurek1n = 5Koral took 4 of 5
S4Koral2Zurek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKoralZurekK − ZBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.636.0+5.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 224 vs 312 / 61453.1%50.8%119 / 224 vs 312 / 614Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.43/Zurek 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral43611114113F. Zurek4111841172
WSep 17 · 11:00M. Koral331111113F. Zurek236980
LSep 17 · 09:28M. Koral54149119112F. Zurek521211511133
WSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral3911116113F. Zurek31971141
WOct 31 · 12:00M. Koral3961111113F. Zurek33118771
M. Koral10
WSep 21 · 12:00M. Koral1.7311811113I. Taichman2.00711321WSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113WSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 20 · 17:30V. Bosak1.738530M. Koral2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750WSep 20 · 15:30T. Kraninger2.381110111172M. Koral1.53812913113LSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113WSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113
F. Zurek10
WSep 21 · 12:30F. Zurek1.5011711113P. Varecha2.50911381WSep 21 · 11:00F. Zurek1.831111113I. Taichman1.836940LSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 17 · 13:09F. Zurek2.25311911113E. Sionkala1.5511711972LSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113LSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113WSep 17 · 10:00E. Sionkala2.38117491F. Zurek1.5391111113WSep 17 · 09:28M. Koral1.50149119112F. Zurek2.501211511133LSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha2.207540F. Zurek1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Koral
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F. Zurek
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