TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711113118––
Pavel Varecha
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Filip Zurek at 66.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 21–11 Pavel Varecha Pavel Varecha has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-11 in 32
Zurek
Correct
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1482 vs Varecha 1343
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 40% vs Varecha 20%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Varecha 20%
Zurek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +1 · Varecha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zurek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.50 / Varecha 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165841
Zurek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 82 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it72% 62 of 86
Varecha2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 32 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek5wins
AwayVarecha5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek75%3 of 4
AwayVarecha66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek4Varecha6n = 10Varecha took 6 of 10
S2Zurek7Varecha3n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S3Zurek7Varecha3n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S4Zurek1Varecha5n = 6Varecha took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekVarechaZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.333.8+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 613 vs 108 / 22850.7%47.4%311 / 613 vs 108 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.50/Varecha 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 07:00F. Zurek331111113P. Varecha167540
LSep 12 · 09:05F. Zurek351141371P. Varecha4581115113
WSep 12 · 06:30F. Zurek50911118113P. Varecha4511891162
WSep 11 · 07:00F. Zurek4071111113P. Varecha34117881
LSep 1 · 09:29F. Zurek30511681P. Varecha4011711113
LSep 1 · 06:30F. Zurek219480P. Varecha331111113
WAug 25 · 12:59F. Zurek331111113P. Varecha186570
LAug 25 · 11:00F. Zurek31761171P. Varecha3911116113
WAug 21 · 07:30F. Zurek331111113P. Varecha257990
LJul 31 · 09:29F. Zurek4791111792P. Varecha43116411113
F. Zurek10
LSep 21 · 13:30M. Koral1.431111123F. Zurek2.6099100WSep 21 · 11:00F. Zurek1.831111113I. Taichman1.836940LSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 17 · 13:09F. Zurek2.25311911113E. Sionkala1.5511711972LSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113LSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113WSep 17 · 10:00E. Sionkala2.38117491F. Zurek1.5391111113WSep 17 · 09:28M. Koral1.50149119112F. Zurek2.501211511133LSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha2.207540F. Zurek1.611111113
P. Varecha10
LSep 21 · 12:58I. Taichman1.5711139113P. Varecha2.255111191LSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113LSep 21 · 10:30I. Taichman1.831212113P. Varecha1.83101090WSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163LSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123LSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha2.207540F. Zurek1.611111113LSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390LSep 14 · 13:30M. Kowolowski1.4311611123P. Varecha2.606114101LSep 14 · 12:30P. Varecha2.3881160M. Kowolowski1.531113113LSep 14 · 11:00P. Varecha2.20115137162J. Stach1.617111111183
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek
P. Varecha
Nothing scheduled
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