TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivo Taichman
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101210119––––
Pavel Varecha
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:52 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 56.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 2–3 Pavel Varecha Ivo Taichman has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Varecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1504 vs Varecha 1358
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 80% vs Varecha 20%
Taichman
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 70% vs Varecha 30%
Taichman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +4 · Varecha +1
Taichman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.83 / Varecha 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Taichman)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163937
Taichman1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Varecha1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeTaichman2wins
AwayVarecha3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVarecha leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichmann = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVarecha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman1Varecha4n = 5Varecha took 4 of 5
S2Taichman1Varecha4n = 5Varecha took 4 of 5
S3Taichman2Varecha3n = 5Varecha took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricTaichmanVarechaT − VBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.237.8−3.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 514 vs 108 / 22651.8%47.8%266 / 514 vs 108 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanTaichman 1.83/Varecha 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 14 · 10:00I. Taichman2712690P. Varecha361411113
LSep 12 · 07:30I. Taichman2789100P. Varecha341111123
WSep 11 · 06:00I. Taichman49881111113P. Varecha3511118412
LOct 13 · 07:30I. Taichman34771551P. Varecha46111113113
I. Taichman10
LSep 21 · 11:00F. Zurek1.831111113I. Taichman1.836940WSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182WSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950WSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123LSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman2.1011914922F. Zurek1.675111211113LSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman1.83111090F. Zurek1.831312113WSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100LSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 14 · 13:00J. Stach2.204280I. Taichman1.611111113
P. Varecha10
LSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113WSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163LSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123LSep 17 · 07:00P. Varecha2.207540F. Zurek1.611111113LSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390LSep 14 · 13:30M. Kowolowski1.4311611123P. Varecha2.606114101LSep 14 · 12:30P. Varecha2.3881160M. Kowolowski1.531113113LSep 14 · 11:00P. Varecha2.20115137162J. Stach1.617111111183WSep 14 · 10:00I. Taichman1.8312690P. Varecha1.831411113WSep 12 · 09:05P. Varecha2.3081115113F. Zurek1.551141371
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