TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Blejchar vs Petr Osvald 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115116711117
Petr Osvald
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Petr Osvald at 56.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 11–19 Petr Osvald Marek Blejchar has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-19 in 30
Osvald
Wrong
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1565 vs Osvald 1472
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Osvald 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 60% vs Osvald 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar -2 · Osvald -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 2.00 / Osvald 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Osvald)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182828
Blejchar2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 55 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Osvald1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar5wins
AwayOsvald5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar75%3 of 4
AwayOsvald66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar4Osvald6n = 10Osvald took 6 of 10
S2Blejchar8Osvald2n = 10Blejchar took 8 of 10
S3Blejchar7Osvald3n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S4Blejchar2Osvald6n = 8Osvald took 6 of 8
S5Blejchar1Osvald2n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharOsvaldB − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.6−0.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 646 vs 110 / 22848.6%48.3%314 / 646 vs 110 / 228Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldBlejchar 2.00/Osvald 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:00M. Blejchar49911117113P. Osvald4011561172
LSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar36811981P. Osvald4211911113
WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar331111113P. Osvald186480
WSep 7 · 13:01M. Blejchar371114123P. Osvald30812100
WSep 7 · 12:30M. Blejchar3911611113P. Osvald34811691
LSep 5 · 16:59M. Blejchar331141171P. Osvald4113116113
LSep 5 · 15:00M. Blejchar3441113332P. Osvald521181111113
WJul 27 · 08:30M. Blejchar3851111113P. Osvald32113991
LJul 23 · 19:30M. Blejchar32415671P. Osvald46111311113
LJun 9 · 06:00M. Blejchar47111456112P. Osvald514121111133
M. Blejchar10
LSep 21 · 21:30R. Adam2.10911115113M. Blejchar1.6611961182LSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581WSep 21 · 19:00T. Milota1.44911371M. Blejchar2.6311911113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452WSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281WSep 20 · 12:00P. Hanel1.7351191162M. Blejchar2.00119114113WSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.83111011123T. Milkov1.836128101LSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591LSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141
P. Osvald10
LSep 24 · 07:00P. Osvald2.63111070M. Koral1.441312113LSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113WSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113WSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861WSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar2.30811981P. Osvald1.5511911113LSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161WSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113LSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123WSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110
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