TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Adam vs Marek Blejchar 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Radim Adam
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119116511118
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 60.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 25–39 Marek Blejchar Radim Adam has won 25 of their 64 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Blejchar beat Adam 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Blejchar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-39 in 64
Blejchar
Wrong
gap of 14 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1514 vs Blejchar 1559
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 40% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 50% vs Blejchar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +2 · Blejchar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 2.10 / Blejchar 1.66
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13173184
Adam2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Blejchar1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 97 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 64 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam2wins
AwayBlejchar8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBlejchar77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam1Blejchar9n = 10Blejchar took 9 of 10
S2Adam4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Adam5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S4Adam1Blejchar6n = 7Blejchar took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamBlejcharA − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.641.1−6.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 386 vs 319 / 65451.6%48.8%199 / 386 vs 319 / 654Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharAdam 2.10/Blejchar 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:30R. Adam4081112452M. Blejchar511181011113
LSep 20 · 13:30R. Adam381171281M. Blejchar4591114113
LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam306101131M. Blejchar4011126113
LSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2477100M. Blejchar341111123
LSep 11 · 19:00R. Adam341011130M. Blejchar401213153
WSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam3851111113M. Blejchar32117861
WSep 6 · 17:30R. Adam48711115143M. Blejchar50118811122
LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam3610111051M. Blejchar4412912113
LAug 22 · 15:30R. Adam2371060M. Blejchar341112113
LAug 21 · 10:30R. Adam35981171M. Blejchar4111118113
R. Adam10
WSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113WSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581WSep 21 · 19:00T. Milota1.44911371M. Blejchar2.6311911113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452WSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281WSep 20 · 12:00P. Hanel1.7351191162M. Blejchar2.00119114113WSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.83111011123T. Milkov1.836128101LSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591LSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:00P. Hanel1.80111188113M. Blejchar1.9157111172
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