TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Sikon vs Pawel Adamus 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311711118115––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:57 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1311711118115––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 4–14 Pawel Adamus Mateusz Sikon has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Sikon beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1426 vs Adamus 1418
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 80% vs Adamus 40%
Sikon
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 70% vs Adamus 50%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.50 / Adamus 1.47
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Adamus)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13181771
Sikon2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 106 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back16% 30 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 115
Adamus1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 209 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it99% 102 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 160 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon3wins
AwayAdamus7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Sikon3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S3Sikon5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S4Sikon7Adamus1n = 8Sikon took 7 of 8
S5Sikon1Adamus4n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonAdamusS − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.544.9−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 450 vs 380 / 68840.2%55.2%181 / 450 vs 380 / 688Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusSikon 2.50/Adamus 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 24:00M. Sikon4791111163P. Adamus421198141
LAug 18 · 04:40M. Sikon196940P. Adamus331111113
LAug 13 · 11:00M. Sikon47511711132P. Adamus55119119153
LAug 13 · 05:30M. Sikon521111911102P. Adamus54139119123
WAug 4 · 22:55M. Sikon4111811113P. Adamus35811881
LAug 4 · 16:55M. Sikon399911101P. Adamus4311119123
LJul 21 · 22:55M. Sikon50671314102P. Adamus5711111112123
WJul 21 · 16:55M. Sikon47117611123P. Adamus48911117102
LJul 20 · 14:20M. Sikon247980P. Adamus331111113
LJul 20 · 08:10M. Sikon3975111152P. Adamus49111188113
M. Sikon10
LSep 23 · 02:20M. Sikon1.70716861M. Paszkiewicz2.00111411113WSep 23 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.75711941M. Sikon1.9511611113WSep 23 · 24:00P. Adamus1.651198141M. Sikon2.1091111163WSep 22 · 23:10M. Sikon2.7511169113M. Lebek1.319141161WSep 22 · 22:00M. Sikon2.951311113P. Kurek1.3611490WSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon1.81119513113P. Kurek1.90911111192WSep 22 · 03:05M. Baron1.6311119992M. Sikon1.93771111113LSep 22 · 01:50G. Marud1.751112311113M. Sikon1.9571411762WSep 22 · 01:10M. Sikon1.6881111113P. Slosarczyk1.87117691LSep 22 · 24:10M. Sikon2.65116891S. Szostok1.3381111113
P. Adamus10
WSep 23 · 02:45P. Adamus1.7181111113M. Lebek2.00117991LSep 23 · 01:10P. Adamus1.8568121182P. Kurek1.801111109113LSep 23 · 24:00P. Adamus1.651198141M. Sikon2.1091111163LSep 22 · 22:25P. Adamus1.751110231M. Tkocz1.9551211113WSep 22 · 21:10P. Adamus1.8291111113M. Paszkiewicz1.88118691WSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus1.47111311123M. Baron2.219158101WSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113LSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932WSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112
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