TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Mateusz Sikon 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199118111416––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
1199118111416––
H2H Pawel Adamus 14–3 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1431 vs Sikon 1415
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Sikon +4
Sikon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.65 / Sikon 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 41%
Edge (Adamus)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13180697
Adamus1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 209 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it99% 102 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 160 of 203
Sikon2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 106 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back16% 30 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwaySikon3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%7 of 7
AwaySikon100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Sikon3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus8Sikon2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S3Adamus5Sikon5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus1Sikon7n = 8Sikon took 7 of 8
S5Adamus4Sikon1n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSikonA − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.140.0+4.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 685 vs 179 / 44755.3%40%379 / 685 vs 179 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.65/Sikon 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.5%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 04:40P. Adamus331111113M. Sikon196940
WAug 13 · 11:00P. Adamus55119119153M. Sikon47511711132
WAug 13 · 05:30P. Adamus54139119123M. Sikon521111911102
LAug 4 · 22:55P. Adamus35811881M. Sikon4111811113
WAug 4 · 16:55P. Adamus4311119123M. Sikon399911101
WJul 21 · 22:55P. Adamus5711111112123M. Sikon50671314102
LJul 21 · 16:55P. Adamus48911117102M. Sikon47117611123
WJul 20 · 14:20P. Adamus331111113M. Sikon247980
WJul 20 · 08:10P. Adamus49111188113M. Sikon3975111152
LJul 15 · 13:55P. Adamus34811691M. Sikon4211911113
P. Adamus10
LSep 22 · 22:25P. Adamus1.751110231M. Tkocz1.9551211113WSep 22 · 21:10P. Adamus1.8291111113M. Paszkiewicz1.88118691WSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus1.47111311123M. Baron2.219158101WSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113LSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932WSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112LSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060WSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus1.77111011113P. Kurek1.95712861
M. Sikon10
WSep 23 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.75711941M. Sikon1.9511611113WSep 22 · 23:10M. Sikon2.7511169113M. Lebek1.319141161WSep 22 · 22:00M. Sikon2.951311113P. Kurek1.3611490WSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon1.81119513113P. Kurek1.90911111192WSep 22 · 03:05M. Baron1.6311119992M. Sikon1.93771111113LSep 22 · 01:50G. Marud1.751112311113M. Sikon1.9571411762WSep 22 · 01:10M. Sikon1.6881111113P. Slosarczyk1.87117691LSep 22 · 24:10M. Sikon2.65116891S. Szostok1.3381111113WSep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon2.351141011123P. Kurek1.50711126102WSep 21 · 21:05M. Baron1.80117138112M. Sikon1.858111111133
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