TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Sikon vs Pawel Kurek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311114119––––
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:33 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1311114119––––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 7–18 Pawel Kurek Mateusz Sikon has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-18 in 25
Kurek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1389 vs Kurek 1394
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Kurek 80%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 80% vs Kurek 60%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +2 · Kurek +4
Kurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.95 / Kurek 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kurek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13175687
Sikon2.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 106 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back16% 30 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 115
Kurek1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 222 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it83% 153 of 185
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwayKurek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon50%4 of 8
AwayKurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon8Kurek2n = 10Sikon took 8 of 10
S2Sikon2Kurek8n = 10Kurek took 8 of 10
S3Sikon2Kurek8n = 10Kurek took 8 of 10
S4Sikon4Kurek5n = 9Kurek took 5 of 9
S5Sikon2Kurek1n = 3Sikon took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonKurekS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.9−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 445 vs 434 / 85839.8%50.6%177 / 445 vs 434 / 858Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekSikon 2.95/Kurek 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon49119513113P. Kurek51911111192
WSep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon481141011123P. Kurek46711126102
WSep 16 · 13:10M. Sikon4211911113P. Kurek30611671
LSep 16 · 05:30M. Sikon227960P. Kurek331111113
LSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon32411981P. Kurek3811511113
LSep 14 · 04:10M. Sikon321210281P. Kurek44101211113
LSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon27116461P. Kurek3851111113
LSep 10 · 05:50M. Sikon4711119882P. Kurek50981111113
WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon4211911113P. Kurek35811881
LSep 7 · 17:30M. Sikon331174111P. Kurek4491111133
M. Sikon10
WSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon1.81119513113P. Kurek1.90911111192WSep 22 · 03:05M. Baron1.6311119992M. Sikon1.93771111113LSep 22 · 01:50G. Marud1.751112311113M. Sikon1.9571411762WSep 22 · 01:10M. Sikon1.6881111113P. Slosarczyk1.87117691LSep 22 · 24:10M. Sikon2.65116891S. Szostok1.3381111113WSep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon2.351141011123P. Kurek1.50711126102WSep 21 · 21:05M. Baron1.80117138112M. Sikon1.858111111133WSep 21 · 20:20S. Szostok1.571211101162M. Sikon2.20144123113WSep 21 · 19:30M. Sikon1.8011115113P. Slosarczyk1.90791181WSep 21 · 18:20M. Sikon2.2081112113G. Marud1.571191061
P. Kurek10
WSep 22 · 22:50P. Kurek1.701111113M. Paszkiewicz1.954660WSep 22 · 20:45W. Pytlas2.05119761P. Kurek1.6571111113WSep 22 · 19:35P. Kurek1.931111113P. Kaczynski1.787980WSep 22 · 18:25K. Kowalski4.507590P. Kurek1.101111113WSep 22 · 17:10R. Gajda1.7413831192P. Kurek1.951111116113LSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472LSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon1.81119513113P. Kurek1.90911111192LSep 22 · 03:55P. Slosarczyk2.3911911113P. Kurek1.41911671WSep 22 · 01:30M. Baron2.15711631P. Kurek1.6311711113LSep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon2.351141011123P. Kurek1.50711126102
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