TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Pawel Kurek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311811311116911
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1311811311116911
H2H Rafal Gajda 9–1 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gajda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.74 / Kurek 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gajda)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13179671
Gajda1.74
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 140
Kurek1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 127 of 317
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda9wins
AwayKurek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda100%7 of 7
AwayKurek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda7Kurek3n = 10Gajda took 7 of 10
S2Gajda6Kurek4n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S3Gajda8Kurek2n = 10Gajda took 8 of 10
S4Gajda6Kurek2n = 8Gajda took 6 of 8
S5Gajda2Kurek1n = 3Gajda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaKurekG − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.633.6+8.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 826 vs 430 / 85451.5%50.4%425 / 826 vs 430 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.74/Kurek 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 09:50R. Gajda3961111113P. Kurek32117861
LSep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda41531111112P. Kurek51111179133
WSep 3 · 13:05R. Gajda351111133P. Kurek2366110
WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda50111189113P. Kurek4479111162
WAug 20 · 09:50R. Gajda4211119113P. Kurek23341151
WAug 20 · 05:40R. Gajda361111143P. Kurek2237120
WJul 30 · 13:05R. Gajda4915914113P. Kurek4213111261
WJul 30 · 06:55R. Gajda48117118113P. Kurek4391151172
WJul 2 · 09:25R. Gajda3911611113P. Kurek25711161
WJul 2 · 03:25R. Gajda3741111113P. Kurek31115691
R. Gajda10
WSep 22 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.835460R. Gajda1.861111113WSep 22 · 16:00R. Gajda1.298111213123K. Kowalski3.301161015102LSep 22 · 08:20R. Gajda2.60710100K. Hetnar1.411112123LSep 22 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113R. Gajda1.863290WSep 22 · 06:00I. Szymanski3.55126231R. Gajda1.18101111113WSep 22 · 05:10R. Gajda1.8311611113J. Kaczmarek1.87911691LSep 22 · 04:00R. Gajda1.2511914882K. Kowalski3.456111211113WSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351WSep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.831191112113K. Adamus1.83131191092LSep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.0011880P. Gumulinski1.731311113
P. Kurek10
WSep 22 · 18:25K. Kowalski4.507590P. Kurek1.101111113LSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472LSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon1.81119513113P. Kurek1.90911111192LSep 22 · 03:55P. Slosarczyk2.3911911113P. Kurek1.41911671WSep 22 · 01:30M. Baron2.15711631P. Kurek1.6311711113LSep 22 · 24:50S. Szostok1.591111133P. Kurek1.9979110WSep 21 · 23:30G. Marud1.86119951P. Kurek1.6991111113LSep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon2.351141011123P. Kurek1.50711126102WSep 21 · 21:55P. Slosarczyk2.40118551P. Kurek1.5091111113WSep 21 · 19:55M. Baron2.108211101P. Kurek1.6711114123
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