TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Slosarczyk vs Pawel Kurek 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811511511––
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119811511511––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 10–13 Pawel Kurek Pawel Slosarczyk has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Kurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Kurek
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1249 vs Kurek 1389
Kurek
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Kurek 40%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Kurek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +1 · Kurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.40 / Kurek 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kurek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13168918
Slosarczyk2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 106 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 125
Kurek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 217 of 336
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it83% 150 of 180
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk4wins
AwayKurek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk50%3 of 6
AwayKurek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk6Kurek4n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S2Slosarczyk5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Slosarczyk3Kurek7n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10
S4Slosarczyk3Kurek4n = 7Kurek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykKurekS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.4−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 887 vs 427 / 84638.1%50.5%338 / 887 vs 427 / 846Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekSlosarczyk 2.40/Kurek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk4281111123P. Kurek341149101
LSep 4 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk386131091P. Kurek45111112113
LAug 16 · 05:10P. Slosarczyk268990P. Kurek331111113
LAug 1 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk43131154102P. Kurek5811111311123
WAug 1 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk4211137113P. Kurek378111171
WJul 15 · 14:20P. Slosarczyk341112113P. Kurek2791080
LJul 15 · 08:10P. Slosarczyk351110591P. Kurek3511211113
LJul 13 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk33145681P. Kurek45121111113
WJul 13 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk4311118133P. Kurek376911111
LJun 26 · 08:45P. Slosarczyk185490P. Kurek331111113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 21 · 20:45G. Marud1.541111961P. Slosarczyk2.2513911113LSep 21 · 19:30M. Sikon1.8011115113P. Slosarczyk1.90791181LSep 21 · 17:55M. Baron1.70111113113P. Slosarczyk2.00571591WSep 21 · 02:00M. Sikon1.8061060P. Slosarczyk1.901112113WSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113WSep 20 · 22:50P. Slosarczyk1.90111111113J. Nowak1.80135661WSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113WSep 20 · 19:10P. Slosarczyk1.401211123R. Ogon2.75109100
P. Kurek10
WSep 21 · 19:55M. Baron2.108211101P. Kurek1.6711114123LSep 21 · 19:10G. Marud1.861211118113P. Kurek1.8014511152LSep 21 · 17:30S. Szostok1.90101111113P. Kurek1.75126871WSep 21 · 04:40W. Urban1.852550P. Kurek1.801111113LSep 21 · 03:55O. Vincenec2.151112113P. Kurek1.6371060WSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113LSep 21 · 01:10M. Baron2.161111113P. Kurek1.507560WSep 20 · 23:30G. Marud1.7711350P. Kurek1.931311113LSep 20 · 22:40W. Urban2.0081111113P. Kurek1.71118651WSep 20 · 21:55O. Vincenec1.901110111152P. Kurek1.75812139113
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