TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118116115––
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
811118116115––
H2H Wojciech Urban 11–11 Pawel Kurek Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1313 vs Kurek 1416
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 40% vs Kurek 80%
Kurek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Kurek 60%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -3 · Kurek +1
Urban
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.00 / Kurek 1.71
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kurek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163960
Urban2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 211 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back19% 54 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 170
Kurek1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 214 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it84% 149 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban5wins
AwayKurek5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban100%5 of 5
AwayKurek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S2Urban4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S3Urban4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S4Urban3Kurek1n = 4Urban took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanKurekU − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.634.4−0.8per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1637 vs 423 / 83747.1%50.5%771 / 1637 vs 423 / 837Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekUrban 2.00/Kurek 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 12:15W. Urban2813960P. Kurek371511113
WSep 10 · 08:35W. Urban44111111113P. Kurek39913891
WAug 30 · 08:45W. Urban331111113P. Kurek237790
LAug 28 · 07:35W. Urban196940P. Kurek331111113
LAug 18 · 21:10W. Urban206770P. Kurek331111113
WAug 4 · 02:45W. Urban48111111153P. Kurek376135131
LAug 3 · 23:05W. Urban2879120P. Kurek361111143
WAug 3 · 02:45W. Urban43111110113P. Kurek32941271
WAug 2 · 23:05W. Urban361312113P. Kurek29111080
LJul 21 · 13:30W. Urban376138101P. Kurek45111111123
W. Urban10
LSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060LSep 20 · 20:20M. Baron2.05711911123W. Urban1.68116113102LSep 20 · 19:30W. Urban1.76111481162O. Vincenec1.95916112113WSep 20 · 18:20W. Urban1.951111113G. Marud1.769460WSep 20 · 08:45W. Urban1.9311711113W. Pytlas1.77911361WSep 20 · 07:10W. Urban1.8311911113M. Adamus1.83911881LSep 20 · 06:00W. Urban2.6011711692P. Zemla1.41911811113LSep 20 · 04:25W. Urban1.95119881K. Juszczyk1.7491111113LSep 20 · 03:10W. Urban1.908370M. Paszkiewicz1.801111113WSep 19 · 08:45W. Urban2.001111113W. Pytlas1.713750
P. Kurek10
WSep 20 · 23:30G. Marud1.7711350P. Kurek1.931311113WSep 20 · 21:55O. Vincenec1.901110111152P. Kurek1.75812139113LSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus1.77111011113P. Kurek1.95712861WSep 20 · 19:10G. Marud1.8611611742P. Kurek1.80911711113WSep 20 · 17:30M. Baron2.0981191172P. Kurek1.53115116113WSep 18 · 08:00P. Kurek2.051111113M. Lebek1.666660LSep 18 · 06:45P. Kurek1.80871141M. Adamus1.9011119113LSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.5511118113P. Kurek1.45331171WSep 18 · 03:35P. Kurek2.1511611113P. Polok1.60811591
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
P. Kurek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.