TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11810121113119511
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
11810121113119511
H2H Oliver Vincenec 10–7 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Kurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Vincenec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1348 vs Kurek 1407
Kurek
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Kurek 60%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 40% vs Kurek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +2 · Kurek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.90 / Kurek 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kurek)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13163968
Vincenec1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 189 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back23% 65 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 140
Kurek1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 214 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it84% 149 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayKurek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec75%3 of 4
AwayKurek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec2Kurek5n = 7Kurek took 5 of 7
S5Vincenec4Kurek0n = 4Vincenec took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecKurekV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.1−3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime672 / 1471 vs 422 / 83645.7%50.5%672 / 1471 vs 422 / 836Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekVincenec 1.90/Kurek 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec471111104113P. Kurek4769121192
LSep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec174850P. Kurek331111113
LSep 3 · 11:50O. Vincenec341111751P. Kurek4161311113
WSep 3 · 03:50O. Vincenec43411116113P. Kurek4111841172
WAug 18 · 08:45O. Vincenec48115912113P. Kurek45911111042
WAug 10 · 09:00O. Vincenec49791111113P. Kurek4511118962
LAug 10 · 04:30O. Vincenec188550P. Kurek331111113
WJul 30 · 14:40O. Vincenec331111113P. Kurek239770
LJul 30 · 06:05O. Vincenec25311741P. Kurek3711411113
LJul 13 · 10:35O. Vincenec4581611101P. Kurek4611185123
O. Vincenec10
WSep 20 · 23:05M. Baron1.901281111132O. Vincenec1.801011213153WSep 20 · 20:45G. Marud1.661211781O. Vincenec2.05101311113WSep 20 · 19:30W. Urban1.76111481162O. Vincenec1.95916112113LSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus1.571112113O. Vincenec2.2591090LSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 12:15L. Oracz1.7391090O. Vincenec2.001112113LSep 18 · 11:00W. Urban1.57711811113O. Vincenec2.2511511882LSep 18 · 09:25K. Hetnar1.4071111113O. Vincenec2.75116421LSep 18 · 08:35P. Adamus1.73111110113O. Vincenec2.00861291
P. Kurek10
WSep 20 · 23:30G. Marud1.7711350P. Kurek1.931311113LSep 20 · 22:40W. Urban2.0081111113P. Kurek1.71118651LSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus1.77111011113P. Kurek1.95712861WSep 20 · 19:10G. Marud1.8611611742P. Kurek1.80911711113WSep 20 · 17:30M. Baron2.0981191172P. Kurek1.53115116113WSep 18 · 08:00P. Kurek2.051111113M. Lebek1.666660LSep 18 · 06:45P. Kurek1.80871141M. Adamus1.9011119113LSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.5511118113P. Kurek1.45331171WSep 18 · 03:35P. Kurek2.1511611113P. Polok1.60811591
Upcoming Matches
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