TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Kurek vs Piotr Kaczynski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.93
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117119118––––
H2H Pawel Kurek 1–1 Piotr Kaczynski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Kaczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1370 vs Kaczynski 1401
Kaczynski
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Kaczynski 60%
Kaczynski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Kaczynski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +2 · Kaczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaczynski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.93 / Kaczynski 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kaczynski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13179899
Kurek1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 127 of 317
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Kaczynski1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 54 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKurek1wins
AwayKaczynski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKurekKaczynskiKurek − KaczynskiBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.537.0+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 856 vs 210 / 39150.5%53.7%432 / 856 vs 210 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiKurek 1.93/Kaczynski 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 28 · 19:35P. Kurek44111141082P. Kaczynski45651112113
WMar 8 · 09:20P. Kurek4111118113P. Kaczynski29951141
P. Kurek10
WSep 22 · 18:25K. Kowalski4.507590P. Kurek1.101111113WSep 22 · 17:10R. Gajda1.7413831192P. Kurek1.951111116113LSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472LSep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon1.81119513113P. Kurek1.90911111192LSep 22 · 03:55P. Slosarczyk2.3911911113P. Kurek1.41911671WSep 22 · 01:30M. Baron2.15711631P. Kurek1.6311711113LSep 22 · 24:50S. Szostok1.591111133P. Kurek1.9979110WSep 21 · 23:30G. Marud1.86119951P. Kurek1.6991111113LSep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon2.351141011123P. Kurek1.50711126102WSep 21 · 21:55P. Slosarczyk2.40118551P. Kurek1.5091111113
P. Kaczynski10
LSep 22 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.7511911113P. Kaczynski1.95611881WSep 22 · 16:50K. Kowalski4.5011411762P. Kaczynski1.15911511113WSep 22 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.9043100P. Kaczynski1.751111123LSep 15 · 20:00J. Orszulik1.80111198123P. Kaczynski1.90751111102WSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133WSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162LSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531LSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113
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