TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Michal Paszkiewicz 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118116119––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
911118116119––
H2H Pawel Adamus 6–5 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1433 vs Paszkiewicz 1391
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Paszkiewicz 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Paszkiewicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Paszkiewicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.82 / Paszkiewicz 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamus)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13169844
Adamus1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 209 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it99% 102 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 160 of 203
Paszkiewicz1.88
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayPaszkiewicz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%3 of 3
AwayPaszkiewicz57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus3Paszkiewicz7n = 10Paszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S2Adamus5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus8Paszkiewicz2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Adamus4Paszkiewicz3n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S5Adamus2Paszkiewicz1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPaszkiewiczA − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.237.5+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 683 vs 422 / 78755.3%53.6%378 / 683 vs 422 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.82/Paszkiewicz 1.88
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 24:50P. Adamus331111113M. Paszkiewicz269980
LAug 17 · 17:30P. Adamus37881291M. Paszkiewicz43111110113
WAug 17 · 01:35P. Adamus4481411113M. Paszkiewicz361112761
WAug 16 · 19:35P. Adamus521181111113M. Paszkiewicz4981181392
WJul 19 · 03:10P. Adamus43611411113M. Paszkiewicz4411911762
LMay 1 · 04:00P. Adamus4379111152M. Paszkiewicz48111196113
LApr 17 · 03:10P. Adamus36881191M. Paszkiewicz4211119113
LApr 10 · 03:10P. Adamus216780M. Paszkiewicz331111113
WApr 8 · 03:35P. Adamus331111113M. Paszkiewicz225890
WAug 6 · 03:10P. Adamus4071111113M. Paszkiewicz32116781
P. Adamus10
WSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus1.47111311123M. Baron2.219158101WSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113LSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932WSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112LSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060WSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus1.77111011113P. Kurek1.95712861LSep 20 · 18:45M. Baron2.10811811113P. Adamus1.6511711762WSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus1.571112113O. Vincenec2.2591090
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 20 · 08:20P. Zemla1.461211861M. Paszkiewicz2.5014711113LSep 20 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.761111153M. Paszkiewicz1.9037130LSep 20 · 05:35K. Juszczyk1.80511511113M. Paszkiewicz1.8611311572LSep 20 · 04:50M. Adamus1.78811111143M. Paszkiewicz1.91111155122WSep 20 · 03:10W. Urban1.908370M. Paszkiewicz1.801111113LSep 18 · 17:05G. Wichowski1.65115612113M. Paszkiewicz2.10811111062LSep 18 · 15:55M. Paszkiewicz1.6811811462W. Tobiasz2.05811311113WSep 18 · 14:45O. Jadach1.57813111192M. Paszkiewicz2.201111136113WSep 18 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.54116611102M. Paszkiewicz2.25811116123WSep 18 · 11:55P. Slosarczyk2.25911951M. Paszkiewicz1.5511911113
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