TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.61
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131191155111311
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11131191155111311
H2H Pawel Adamus 11–8 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Adamus beat Vincenec 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1430 vs Vincenec 1348
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Vincenec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Vincenec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Vincenec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.61 / Vincenec 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Adamus)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13166012
Adamus1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it99% 101 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 156 of 199
Vincenec2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 189 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back23% 65 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayVincenec5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwayVincenec100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Vincenec4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus6Vincenec4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus4Vincenec3n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S5Adamus1Vincenec3n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusVincenecA − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.1+3.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 678 vs 673 / 147355.3%45.7%375 / 678 vs 673 / 1473Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.61/Vincenec 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus341112113O. Vincenec2891090
WSep 18 · 08:35P. Adamus43111110113O. Vincenec35861291
LSep 17 · 04:25P. Adamus49118119102O. Vincenec46711511123
WSep 17 · 02:00P. Adamus331111113O. Vincenec216690
LAug 28 · 17:05P. Adamus279990O. Vincenec331111113
WAug 28 · 08:45P. Adamus43111110113O. Vincenec31651281
LJul 20 · 11:00P. Adamus3531110111O. Vincenec4111512133
WJul 20 · 04:55P. Adamus45117114123O. Vincenec43411711102
LJul 10 · 22:35P. Adamus50138111172O. Vincenec48151147113
LJul 10 · 15:00P. Adamus43831111102O. Vincenec45111138123
P. Adamus10
LSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060WSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus1.77111011113P. Kurek1.95712861LSep 20 · 18:45M. Baron2.10811811113P. Adamus1.6511711762WSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus1.571112113O. Vincenec2.2591090LSep 19 · 14:20P. Adamus2.25712651W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111011113WSep 19 · 12:40P. Mecik2.5099100P. Adamus1.501111123LSep 19 · 11:50P. Polok1.53111169113P. Adamus2.3895111172WSep 19 · 11:00P. Adamus1.6711711113W. Buczynski2.10811461LSep 19 · 09:50P. Adamus1.20101161162W. Jozala4.33129119113
O. Vincenec10
WSep 20 · 23:05M. Baron1.901281111132O. Vincenec1.801011213153LSep 20 · 21:55O. Vincenec1.901110111152P. Kurek1.75812139113WSep 20 · 20:45G. Marud1.661211781O. Vincenec2.05101311113WSep 20 · 19:30W. Urban1.76111481162O. Vincenec1.95916112113LSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus1.571112113O. Vincenec2.2591090LSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 12:15L. Oracz1.7391090O. Vincenec2.001112113LSep 18 · 11:00W. Urban1.57711811113O. Vincenec2.2511511882LSep 18 · 09:25K. Hetnar1.4071111113O. Vincenec2.75116421
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
O. Vincenec
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.