TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.56
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181113114117––
Wojciech Urban
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1181113114117––
H2H Pawel Adamus 19–7 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Adamus beat Urban 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (57%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-7 in 26
Adamus
Correct
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1414 vs Urban 1358
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.56 / Urban 2.05
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Adamus)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13165996
Adamus1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it99% 101 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 156 of 199
Urban2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 211 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back19% 54 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwayUrban3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus85.7%6 of 7
AwayUrban66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Urban3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus8Urban2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Adamus3Urban3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusUrbanA − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.533.6+5.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 681 vs 774 / 164155.2%47.2%376 / 681 vs 774 / 1641Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.56/Urban 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus341112113W. Urban2041060
LSep 18 · 05:40P. Adamus51119118122W. Urban53811911143
WAug 31 · 02:45P. Adamus4391111123W. Urban341194101
WAug 30 · 23:05P. Adamus47117117113W. Urban3841191132
WAug 29 · 05:10P. Adamus4311711143W. Urban387118121
WAug 25 · 01:30P. Adamus341111123W. Urban2358100
WAug 24 · 19:55P. Adamus331111113W. Urban185490
LAug 22 · 04:25P. Adamus29101180W. Urban361213113
WAug 20 · 08:45P. Adamus44111011123W. Urban335126101
LAug 18 · 03:55P. Adamus3761110101W. Urban4311812123
P. Adamus10
WSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus1.47111311123M. Baron2.219158101LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113LSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932WSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112LSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060WSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus1.77111011113P. Kurek1.95712861LSep 20 · 18:45M. Baron2.10811811113P. Adamus1.6511711762WSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus1.571112113O. Vincenec2.2591090LSep 19 · 14:20P. Adamus2.25712651W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111011113
W. Urban10
LSep 21 · 04:40W. Urban1.852550P. Kurek1.801111113WSep 21 · 02:20G. Marud1.655860W. Urban1.901111113LSep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.658112101O. Vincenec1.9111711123WSep 21 · 24:20W. Urban1.78111116113M. Baron1.9311571192WSep 20 · 22:40W. Urban2.0081111113P. Kurek1.71118651LSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060LSep 20 · 20:20M. Baron2.05711911123W. Urban1.68116113102LSep 20 · 19:30W. Urban1.76111481162O. Vincenec1.95916112113WSep 20 · 18:20W. Urban1.951111113G. Marud1.769460WSep 20 · 08:45W. Urban1.9311711113W. Pytlas1.77911361
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