TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Pawel Kurek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6118111210119811
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111210119811
H2H Pawel Adamus 6–15 Pawel Kurek Pawel Adamus has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Kurek
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1419 vs Kurek 1394
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Kurek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Kurek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Kurek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.85 / Kurek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kurek)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13180855
Adamus1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Kurek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 222 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it83% 153 of 185
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus2wins
AwayKurek8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus40%2 of 5
AwayKurek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus6Kurek4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus2Kurek8n = 10Kurek took 8 of 10
S4Adamus4Kurek5n = 9Kurek took 5 of 9
S5Adamus1Kurek5n = 6Kurek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusKurekA − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.044.3−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 686 vs 435 / 86155.3%50.5%379 / 686 vs 435 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekAdamus 1.85/Kurek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus36712981P. Kurek43111011113
WSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus43111011113P. Kurek33712861
LAug 27 · 01:10P. Adamus47101191162P. Kurek49129116113
LJul 17 · 22:35P. Adamus4311751462P. Kurek549111112113
LJul 17 · 15:00P. Adamus3811117632P. Kurek45481111113
LJul 15 · 09:50P. Adamus2681260P. Kurek361114113
LJul 15 · 05:40P. Adamus44101111572P. Kurek47126711113
LJul 1 · 08:35P. Adamus29711561P. Kurek3911611113
WJun 26 · 23:20P. Adamus5511111012113P. Kurek4476121452
LJun 24 · 02:35P. Adamus4911791392P. Kurek539111111113
P. Adamus10
LSep 23 · 24:00P. Adamus1.651198141M. Sikon2.1091111163LSep 22 · 22:25P. Adamus1.751110231M. Tkocz1.9551211113WSep 22 · 21:10P. Adamus1.8291111113M. Paszkiewicz1.88118691WSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus1.47111311123M. Baron2.219158101WSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113LSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932WSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112LSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060
P. Kurek10
LSep 23 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.801111113P. Kurek1.905570LSep 23 · 24:25P. Kurek2.1531171162M. Lebek1.60118118113WSep 22 · 22:50P. Kurek1.701111113M. Paszkiewicz1.954660LSep 22 · 22:00M. Sikon2.951311113P. Kurek1.3611490WSep 22 · 20:45W. Pytlas2.05119761P. Kurek1.6571111113WSep 22 · 19:35P. Kurek1.931111113P. Kaczynski1.787980WSep 22 · 18:25K. Kowalski4.507590P. Kurek1.101111113WSep 22 · 17:10R. Gajda1.7413831192P. Kurek1.951111116113LSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472WSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus1.87712981P. Kurek1.83111011113
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
P. Kurek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.