TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Delikatny vs Marian Brunner 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1162111412711116
Marian Brunner
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Delikatny to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
1162111412711116
H2H Kamil Delikatny 21–12 Marian Brunner Marian Brunner has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Brunner beat Delikatny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Delikatny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-12 in 33
Delikatny
Correct
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1323 vs Brunner 1251
Delikatny
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 40% vs Brunner 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 50% vs Brunner 30%
Delikatny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny -1 · Brunner -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Delikatny) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Delikatny form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 1.60 / Brunner 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Delikatny)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13180695
Delikatny1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 49 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Brunner2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 48 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDelikatny5wins
AwayBrunner5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDelikatny40%2 of 5
AwayBrunner40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny5Brunner5n = 10split evenly
S2Delikatny4Brunner6n = 10Brunner took 6 of 10
S3Delikatny5Brunner5n = 10split evenly
S4Delikatny5Brunner2n = 7Delikatny took 5 of 7
S5Delikatny1Brunner2n = 3Brunner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDelikatnyBrunnerD − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.3+0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 469 vs 287 / 58649%49%230 / 469 vs 287 / 586Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DelikatnyDelikatny 1.60/Brunner 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Delikatny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 20:20K. Delikatny175750M. Brunner331111113
WSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny3851111113M. Brunner29116391
LSep 8 · 20:20K. Delikatny2010460M. Brunner341211113
WAug 5 · 24:20K. Delikatny3951111123M. Brunner381198101
WAug 4 · 20:20K. Delikatny331111113M. Brunner208390
LJul 29 · 03:05K. Delikatny4615611772M. Brunner531311711113
WJul 28 · 21:05K. Delikatny49971111113M. Brunner3211112442
LJul 8 · 24:20K. Delikatny331161061M. Brunner3841112113
LJul 7 · 20:20K. Delikatny521310811102M. Brunner521112116123
WJun 10 · 24:20K. Delikatny4311118133M. Brunner349311111
K. Delikatny10
LSep 22 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.9110111041M. Baran1.7112912113WSep 22 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.55111556102K. Delikatny2.306131111123LSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750WSep 22 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.831111113M. Karpiuk1.835370LSep 22 · 18:20K. Delikatny1.832860P. Gesiarz1.721111113LSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113WSep 10 · 24:35K. Delikatny2.201111113M. Baran1.618730LSep 9 · 23:20K. Delikatny2.2011761192A. Zmijewski1.61811117113WSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113WSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162
M. Brunner10
LSep 22 · 23:05M. Brunner2.05711491M. Karpiuk1.6511411113LSep 22 · 21:30M. Brunner2.05117121182P. Gesiarz1.65811146113WSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750LSep 22 · 18:45M. Brunner2.65710121192K. Kwiatkowski1.321112101113WSep 22 · 17:30M. Brunner1.90111166113M. Baran1.7596111162LSep 18 · 01:45M. Brunner7.004760M. Guzik1.081111113LSep 18 · 24:35M. Brunner2.7596131152Z. Nocun1.401111116113LSep 17 · 23:20M. Brunner3.25114461G. Mucha1.3371111113WSep 17 · 22:10M. Baran1.531249121M. Brunner2.38101111143LSep 17 · 21:20M. Brunner2.38101111482K. Gudzik1.53128911113
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