TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Korobov vs Vitalii Sydorenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131151012116––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 77.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 15–5 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Korobov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Korobov
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1498 vs Sydorenko 1305
Korobov
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 40% vs Sydorenko 60%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 40% vs Sydorenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -3 · Sydorenko +2
Korobov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.28 / Sydorenko 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Korobov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13180287
Korobov1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 54 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Sydorenko3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 84 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov8wins
AwaySydorenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov80%8 of 10
AwaySydorenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov10Sydorenko0n = 10Korobov took 10 of 10
S2Korobov8Sydorenko2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S3Korobov4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Korobov5Sydorenko1n = 6Korobov took 5 of 6
S5Korobov1Sydorenko2n = 3Sydorenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovSydorenkoK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match39.831.9+7.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 151 vs 260 / 58260.9%44.7%92 / 151 vs 260 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.28/Sydorenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korobov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov501110711112V. Sydorenko49912114133
WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov331111113V. Sydorenko226790
WAug 3 · 17:05O. Korobov3911116113V. Sydorenko32481191
WJul 21 · 17:05O. Korobov371111153V. Sydorenko2676130
WJul 7 · 17:55O. Korobov4211119113V. Sydorenko28651161
WJul 1 · 12:35O. Korobov44111156113V. Sydorenko4049111152
LJun 24 · 18:35O. Korobov41115101142V. Sydorenko48511129113
WJun 18 · 16:35O. Korobov331111113V. Sydorenko213990
WJun 10 · 18:35O. Korobov331111113V. Sydorenko229580
WJun 2 · 18:35O. Korobov46111113113V. Sydorenko31531581
O. Korobov10
WSep 23 · 14:55O. Korobov1.40111367113I. Yelfimov2.75111111182LSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660LSep 17 · 18:25O. Korobov1.40781141V. Hainiuk2.7511117113LSep 17 · 17:25O. Korobov1.5011711672V. Sharpai2.50511911113WSep 17 · 15:55O. Korobov1.8051111113A. Lifanov1.91117541WSep 17 · 13:55O. Korobov1.331111113I. Elfemov3.257980WSep 14 · 18:35O. Korobov1.3091114113I. Elfemov3.401131241LSep 14 · 17:05O. Korobov1.44127881V. Sharpai2.63101111113LSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 17 · 19:35V. Chumak1.5767111142V. Sydorenko2.25111199113WSep 17 · 18:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113D. Boltenkov1.449790LSep 17 · 16:05Y. Bielokon1.8371211113V. Sydorenko1.831110391WSep 17 · 14:05A. Azarov1.61119591V. Sydorenko2.2081111113LSep 17 · 13:05V. Leonov1.73111111113V. Sydorenko2.00134661LSep 14 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.281111133V. Sydorenko3.5087110LSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372LSep 14 · 16:35I. Elfemov1.5011511113V. Sydorenko2.50711691LSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.