TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142059
Played Sep 17Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116116––––
Oleksii Korobov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Oleksii Korobov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 67.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–3 Oleksii Korobov Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Korobov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1359 vs Korobov 1527
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 60% vs Korobov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 50% vs Korobov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -1 · Korobov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.63 / Korobov 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Korobov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142059
Skliar2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 19 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Korobov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 54 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayKorobov3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKorobov leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkliarn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKorobov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar1Korobov3n = 4Korobov took 3 of 4
S2Skliar3Korobov1n = 4Skliar took 3 of 4
S3Skliar0Korobov4n = 4Korobov took 4 of 4
S4Skliar1Korobov2n = 3Korobov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkliarKorobovS − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.541.5−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKorobovBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 138 vs 92 / 15047.8%61.3%66 / 138 vs 92 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovSkliar 2.63/Korobov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 17 · 13:05M. Skliar507111011113O. Korobov4111412952
LAug 10 · 17:25M. Skliar46111311562O. Korobov504111311113
LJul 1 · 14:35M. Skliar32811761O. Korobov4211911113
LJun 24 · 17:05M. Skliar187740O. Korobov331111113
M. Skliar10
LSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962WSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262WSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111LSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652WSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin1.441512111M. Skliar2.63111110133LSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150LSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882WSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko1.4091140M. Skliar2.751113113LSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071
O. Korobov10
LSep 17 · 18:25O. Korobov1.40781141V. Hainiuk2.7511117113LSep 17 · 17:25O. Korobov1.5011711672V. Sharpai2.50511911113WSep 17 · 15:55O. Korobov1.8051111113A. Lifanov1.91117541WSep 17 · 13:55O. Korobov1.331111113I. Elfemov3.257980WSep 14 · 18:35O. Korobov1.3091114113I. Elfemov3.401131241LSep 14 · 17:05O. Korobov1.44127881V. Sharpai2.63101111113LSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100LSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133LSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113
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