TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142845
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811117411––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 69.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 11–10 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1544 vs Hainiuk 1386
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 60% vs Hainiuk 20%
Korobov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 50% vs Hainiuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -1 · Hainiuk -3
Hainiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.40 / Hainiuk 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Korobov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142845
Korobov1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 54 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Hainiuk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov85.7%6 of 7
AwayHainiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov7Hainiuk3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S2Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S3Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S4Korobov2Hainiuk3n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovHainiukK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.231.0+4.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 149 vs 365 / 67261.7%54.3%92 / 149 vs 365 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.40/Hainiuk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov3511115172V. Hainiuk47951111113
WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov331111113V. Hainiuk217950
WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov341111123V. Hainiuk2082100
WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov361213113V. Hainiuk29101180
LAug 10 · 13:55O. Korobov368711101V. Hainiuk4211118123
WAug 3 · 15:35O. Korobov361213113V. Hainiuk26101150
WJul 27 · 16:25O. Korobov4071111113V. Hainiuk34116981
WJul 21 · 15:35O. Korobov4211119113V. Hainiuk31971141
WJul 13 · 13:55O. Korobov341112113V. Hainiuk2571080
LJun 2 · 17:35O. Korobov26841131V. Hainiuk3511112113
O. Korobov10
LSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660LSep 17 · 17:25O. Korobov1.5011711672V. Sharpai2.50511911113WSep 17 · 15:55O. Korobov1.8051111113A. Lifanov1.91117541WSep 17 · 13:55O. Korobov1.331111113I. Elfemov3.257980WSep 14 · 18:35O. Korobov1.3091114113I. Elfemov3.401131241LSep 14 · 17:05O. Korobov1.44127881V. Sharpai2.63101111113LSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100LSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133LSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.00119130V. Sharpai1.731311153LSep 17 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.44911129133V. Hainiuk2.631191011112WSep 15 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.671113113I. Elfemov2.1081160LSep 15 · 17:35F. Chashchin1.83111410113V. Hainiuk1.835121231LSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:35V. Hainiuk3.001111133A. Lifanov1.3649110WSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113
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