TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131329
Played Sep 15Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311116––––
Ivan Elfemov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Ivan Elfemov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 60 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 10–11 Ivan Elfemov Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hainiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1421 vs Elfemov 1370
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 40% vs Elfemov 20%
Hainiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 70% vs Elfemov 30%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk -2 · Elfemov -3
Elfemov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hainiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Elfemov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 1.67 / Elfemov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hainiuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131329
Hainiuk1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 102 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Elfemov2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk7wins
AwayElfemov3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk71.4%5 of 7
AwayElfemov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk7Elfemov3n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S2Hainiuk6Elfemov4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S3Hainiuk8Elfemov2n = 10Hainiuk took 8 of 10
S4Hainiuk4Elfemov3n = 7Hainiuk took 4 of 7
S5Hainiuk1Elfemov2n = 3Elfemov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukElfemovH − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.333.2+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukElfemovBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 674 vs 285 / 47754.5%59.8%367 / 674 vs 285 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukHainiuk 1.67/Elfemov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 17:35V. Hainiuk4011711113I. Elfemov33611791
WSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk4261111143I. Elfemov351166121
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk3611711432I. Elfemov47711711113
WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk39241111113I. Elfemov4011116932
LAug 18 · 17:35V. Hainiuk3410111121I. Elfemov4212613113
LAug 13 · 13:35V. Hainiuk4111119462I. Elfemov43731111113
WAug 11 · 19:35V. Hainiuk341112113I. Elfemov2261060
WJul 28 · 16:25V. Hainiuk331111113I. Elfemov248880
WJul 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk331111113I. Elfemov198740
WJul 16 · 16:25V. Hainiuk4111811113I. Elfemov27611551
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 15 · 17:35F. Chashchin1.83111410113V. Hainiuk1.835121231LSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:35V. Hainiuk3.001111133A. Lifanov1.3649110WSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 17:35I. Elfemov2.00611791V. Hainiuk1.7311711113WSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113WSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121
I. Elfemov10
LSep 15 · 18:05I. Elfemov2.505930A. Lifanov1.501111113LSep 15 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.3381111123I. Elfemov3.251148101LSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871WSep 15 · 13:05F. Chashchin1.6110760I. Elfemov2.201211113LSep 14 · 18:35O. Korobov1.3091114113I. Elfemov3.401131241LSep 14 · 17:35I. Elfemov2.00611791V. Hainiuk1.7311711113WSep 14 · 16:35I. Elfemov1.5011511113V. Sydorenko2.50711691WSep 14 · 15:05I. Elfemov2.106111013113V. Sharpai1.67119121192LSep 14 · 13:05I. Elfemov2.2511871192V. Kaganovych1.57711116113LSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121
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