TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Denys Khavanskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111311117––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 20–25 Denys Khavanskyi Serhii Semenets has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-25 in 45
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1305 vs Khavanskyi 1225
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 60% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 70% vs Khavanskyi 50%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets +2 · Khavanskyi -3
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 1.83 / Khavanskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Semenets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179801
Semenets1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Khavanskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets5wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets66.7%4 of 6
AwayKhavanskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets6Khavanskyi4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S2Semenets5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Semenets6Khavanskyi4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S4Semenets2Khavanskyi5n = 7Khavanskyi took 5 of 7
S5Semenets2Khavanskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.2+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 840 vs 167 / 33050.4%50.6%423 / 840 vs 167 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsSemenets 1.83/Khavanskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 07:05S. Semenets4311813113D. Khavanskyi345111171
WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets331111113D. Khavanskyi155550
WSep 20 · 05:35S. Semenets5411101110123D. Khavanskyi49912612102
LSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets331181041D. Khavanskyi4391112113
LSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets4571111972D. Khavanskyi41111711113
WSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets331111113D. Khavanskyi176470
LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets311411421D. Khavanskyi4616811113
WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets539111111113D. Khavanskyi4511135882
LSep 3 · 06:35S. Semenets269980D. Khavanskyi331111113
LSep 1 · 10:35S. Semenets3811116372D. Khavanskyi49971111113
S. Semenets10
WSep 23 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.00411811S. Semenets1.7311811113WSep 22 · 16:40S. Semenets1.731411113V. Stukalov2.0012720LSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113LSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113WSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951LSep 22 · 17:10V. Varchenko2.101111113D. Khavanskyi1.677350LSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370WSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550WSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740
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