TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Vladyslav Stukalov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117112––––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 57 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 56.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 45–35 Vladyslav Stukalov Vladyslav Stukalov has won 35 of their 80 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-35 in 80
Semenets
Correct
gap of 10 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1277 vs Stukalov 1168
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 40% vs Stukalov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 60% vs Stukalov 30%
Semenets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets -2 · Stukalov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 1.73 / Stukalov 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Semenets)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13176358
Semenets1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Stukalov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 105 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets6wins
AwayStukalov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSemenets leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets100%3 of 3
AwayStukalov57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets3Stukalov7n = 10Stukalov took 7 of 10
S2Semenets5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S3Semenets6Stukalov4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S4Semenets4Stukalov2n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsStukalovSemenets − StukalovBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.7+2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 837 vs 414 / 83250.2%49.8%420 / 837 vs 414 / 832Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsSemenets 1.73/Stukalov 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 08:35S. Semenets45111111123V. Stukalov368135101
WSep 18 · 08:35S. Semenets491061111113V. Stukalov4112118642
WSep 16 · 10:50S. Semenets3631111113V. Stukalov31117761
WSep 15 · 14:10S. Semenets43411611113V. Stukalov3411611332
WSep 13 · 08:05S. Semenets331111113V. Stukalov196850
WSep 8 · 12:30S. Semenets331111113V. Stukalov239950
LSep 7 · 06:20S. Semenets175930V. Stukalov331111113
LSep 5 · 09:05S. Semenets33137130V. Stukalov411511153
LSep 3 · 08:35S. Semenets369111061V. Stukalov3911512113
LSep 1 · 05:35S. Semenets32671181V. Stukalov4011117113
S. Semenets10
LSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113LSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113WSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242
V. Stukalov10
LSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113LSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.251111113V. Stukalov3.756590LSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123LSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 19 · 10:20V. Stukalov1.5711118133O. Stopin2.258811111
Upcoming Matches
S. Semenets
Nothing scheduled
V. Stukalov
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