TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Kolesnykov vs Oleh Volynets 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119115––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 14–17 Oleh Volynets Valerii Kolesnykov has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-17 in 31
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1619 vs Volynets 1445
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 80% vs Volynets 20%
Kolesnykov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Volynets 50%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +2 · Volynets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.83 / Volynets 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179637
Kolesnykov1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Volynets1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov6wins
AwayVolynets4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov75%3 of 4
AwayVolynets50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S2Kolesnykov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolesnykov6Volynets4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov2Volynets5n = 7Volynets took 5 of 7
S5Kolesnykov4Volynets1n = 5Kolesnykov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.1−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 661 vs 327 / 60953.4%53.7%353 / 661 vs 327 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.83/Volynets 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov2671090O. Volynets341112113
WSep 10 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov351211123O. Volynets22102100
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3961111113O. Volynets35119871
WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov54912119133O. Volynets481110511112
WAug 27 · 07:05V. Kolesnykov48961111113O. Volynets4811118992
LJun 16 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov4571111792O. Volynets46118511113
WJun 8 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov37111131113O. Volynets3946111172
LMay 7 · 06:05V. Kolesnykov23115431O. Volynets3741111113
LApr 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov227690O. Volynets331111113
WMar 17 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov49127127113O. Volynets491011101172
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 21 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.618911101V. Kolesnykov2.2011115123WSep 21 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.611181110113A. Martyniuk2.2091181292LSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113WSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.28971191O. Leonenko3.5011114113WSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181
O. Volynets10
WSep 22 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.91116111192O. Volynets1.80131148113LSep 22 · 09:30O. Volynets3.008860V. Bilobrov1.361111113LSep 22 · 08:30O. Volynets1.837690Y. Kovshun1.831111113LSep 22 · 07:00O. Volynets1.8011910111A. Martyniuk1.9171112133LSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113LSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123WSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113WSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193
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