TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Volynets vs Yaroslav Kovshun 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 54.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 36–38 Yaroslav Kovshun Oleh Volynets has won 36 of their 74 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kovshun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-38 in 74
Kovshun
Correct
gap of 2 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1447 vs Kovshun 1574
Kovshun
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 40% vs Kovshun 20%
Volynets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 40% vs Kovshun 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -2 · Kovshun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.83 / Kovshun 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovshun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172542
Volynets1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kovshun1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets5wins
AwayKovshun5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets60%3 of 5
AwayKovshun60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets5Kovshun5n = 10split evenly
S2Volynets8Kovshun2n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S3Volynets6Kovshun4n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S4Volynets3Kovshun4n = 7Kovshun took 4 of 7
S5Volynets2Kovshun4n = 6Kovshun took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsKovshunV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.3+3.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 606 vs 336 / 62753.8%53.6%326 / 606 vs 336 / 627Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunVolynets 1.83/Kovshun 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets331111113Y. Kovshun165560
LJul 9 · 11:30O. Volynets44111166102Y. Kovshun51981111123
WJul 3 · 08:05O. Volynets331111113Y. Kovshun227690
LJun 30 · 13:40O. Volynets30661171Y. Kovshun4211119113
WJun 3 · 05:05O. Volynets528121011113Y. Kovshun47111012772
LJun 1 · 05:05O. Volynets3995111132Y. Kovshun48111196113
LMay 31 · 09:05O. Volynets3811116732Y. Kovshun43641111113
WApr 22 · 07:35O. Volynets52911912113Y. Kovshun42115111052
WApr 21 · 07:00O. Volynets331111113Y. Kovshun209740
LApr 12 · 07:35O. Volynets4991111992Y. Kovshun42114511113
O. Volynets10
LSep 22 · 09:30O. Volynets3.008860V. Bilobrov1.361111113LSep 22 · 07:00O. Volynets1.8011910111A. Martyniuk1.9171112133LSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113LSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123WSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113WSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 22 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.38114661Y. Kovshun1.5391111113LSep 22 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.6781111113Y. Kovshun2.10119651LSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282LSep 19 · 10:35Y. Kovshun2.257101191V. Kryvenko1.5711127113LSep 19 · 08:35A. Kotiash2.2011116113Y. Kovshun1.61961141WSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113WSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101LSep 18 · 09:30Y. Kovshun1.9110560S. Kyienko1.801211113WSep 18 · 08:30Y. Kovshun1.679111115113O. Karpenko2.1011971772
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