TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Volynets vs Andrey Troyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711711––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 61.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 56–90 Andrey Troyan Oleh Volynets has won 56 of their 146 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-90 in 146
Troyan
Correct
gap of 34 in 146, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1473 vs Troyan 1631
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 80% vs Troyan 60%
Volynets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 50% vs Troyan 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets +1 · Troyan +3
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 2.20 / Troyan 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Troyan)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172906
Volynets2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 19 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Troyan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 177 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 96 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets3wins
AwayTroyan7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynetsn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTroyan77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets1Troyan9n = 10Troyan took 9 of 10
S2Volynets4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S3Volynets2Troyan8n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Volynets3Troyan3n = 6split evenly
S5Volynets3Troyan1n = 4Volynets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsTroyanV − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.3−5.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 613 vs 467 / 97254%48.1%331 / 613 vs 467 / 972Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanVolynets 2.20/Troyan 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2141160A. Troyan351113113
LSep 8 · 12:05O. Volynets208660A. Troyan331111113
LSep 7 · 10:00O. Volynets2246120A. Troyan361111143
LSep 2 · 11:30O. Volynets29910100A. Troyan351112123
LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets4051171162A. Troyan44118113113
LAug 26 · 06:35O. Volynets351051191A. Troyan4112117113
WAug 25 · 11:30O. Volynets496111011113A. Troyan4511712872
WAug 19 · 10:08O. Volynets461111103113A. Troyan4184121162
WAug 19 · 09:05O. Volynets53911814113A. Troyan48119111252
LAug 8 · 08:05O. Volynets3510101231A. Troyan45121210113
O. Volynets10
WSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113LSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123WSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113WSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113
A. Troyan10
LSep 22 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.7371211113A. Troyan2.001110481WSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.388390A. Troyan1.531111113WSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113WSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113LSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 18 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.10971111113A. Troyan1.6711115482WSep 18 · 10:00A. Troyan1.6711511133O. Karpenko2.105116111LSep 18 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.751111113A. Troyan1.409580WSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113
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