TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148620
Played Sep 18Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 70.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 4–12 Andrey Troyan Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Troyan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Troyan
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1551 vs Troyan 1658
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 40% vs Troyan 80%
Troyan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 30% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov +1 · Troyan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 2.75 / Troyan 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Troyan)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148620
Bilobrov2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Troyan1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 178 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it93% 98 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilobrov2wins
AwayTroyan8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov28.6%2 of 7
AwayTroyan100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov7Troyan3n = 10Bilobrov took 7 of 10
S2Bilobrov6Troyan4n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S3Bilobrov2Troyan8n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Bilobrov2Troyan5n = 7Troyan took 5 of 7
S5Bilobrov0Troyan5n = 5Troyan took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilobrovTroyanB − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.2−5.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 164 vs 467 / 97945.1%47.7%74 / 164 vs 467 / 979Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanBilobrov 2.75/Troyan 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov162950A. Troyan331111113
LSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov304101151A. Troyan4111127113
LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov203890A. Troyan331111113
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov48111197102A. Troyan51981111123
LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov3511113462A. Troyan48961111113
LAug 19 · 07:05V. Bilobrov4412117772A. Troyan481051111113
WAug 17 · 11:30V. Bilobrov4411119133A. Troyan357611111
LAug 11 · 08:30V. Bilobrov4111118382A. Troyan43191111113
LAug 10 · 06:35V. Bilobrov41113111152A. Troyan52911138113
WAug 7 · 12:05V. Bilobrov331111113A. Troyan186840
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 18 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.337640V. Bilobrov3.251111113LSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.502950A. Troyan1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112WSep 15 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.751111113O. Karpenko1.404660LSep 15 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3611711113V. Bilobrov3.00711881LSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov2.204101151A. Troyan1.6111127113WSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113
A. Troyan10
LSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.4411570A. Troyan2.631311113WSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.502950A. Troyan1.501111113WSep 15 · 10:00A. Troyan1.6761111113O. Karpenko2.10118941WSep 15 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011911482A. Troyan2.50711311113WSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113LSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets1.3611512113A. Troyan3.006111081LSep 14 · 12:05A. Troyan1.67541111102O. Karpenko2.10111155123LSep 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251114113A. Troyan3.7581250WSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov2.204101151A. Troyan1.6111127113
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