TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115911311––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 58.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 27–45 Andrey Troyan Dmytro Khairov has won 27 of their 72 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-45 in 72
Troyan
Correct
gap of 18 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1568 vs Troyan 1608
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 60% vs Troyan 40%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 70% vs Troyan 50%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov -1 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 2.20 / Troyan 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Troyan)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166180
Khairov2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 40 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Troyan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 176 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it92% 97 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov6wins
AwayTroyan4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhairov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov100%3 of 3
AwayTroyan57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S2Khairov6Troyan4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S3Khairov5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S4Khairov4Troyan2n = 6Khairov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovTroyanK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.9−0.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 424 vs 465 / 97047.6%47.9%202 / 424 vs 465 / 970Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanKhairov 2.20/Troyan 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.1%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov92340A. Troyan331111113
WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov4311911123A. Troyan359115101
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov174580A. Troyan331111113
WSep 2 · 06:30D. Khairov53711149123A. Troyan521181211102
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Khairov3951111123A. Troyan331166101
LAug 26 · 08:35D. Khairov439159101A. Troyan47111311123
WJul 21 · 08:05D. Khairov4212118113A. Troyan361071181
WJul 20 · 10:35D. Khairov46131111113A. Troyan30153841
WJun 29 · 11:30D. Khairov331111113A. Troyan268990
LJun 28 · 05:35D. Khairov2710890A. Troyan341211113
D. Khairov10
WSep 21 · 11:30A. Martyniuk2.0011113472D. Khairov1.73671111113LSep 21 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.25118911133D. Khairov1.57711114112WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113LSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov1.831111113E. Populovskyi1.839340WSep 20 · 10:20A. Kotiash1.538650D. Khairov2.381111113WSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 08:20O. Osadchyi1.73821151D. Khairov2.0011117113WSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.388390A. Troyan1.531111113WSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113LSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 18 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.10971111113A. Troyan1.6711115482WSep 18 · 10:00A. Troyan1.6711511133O. Karpenko2.105116111LSep 18 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.751111113A. Troyan1.409580LSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.4411570A. Troyan2.631311113WSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113
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