TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116117311411711
Dmytro Khairov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 82 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.9%
82 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 2–7 Dmytro Khairov Andrii Martyniuk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Khairov
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1550 vs Khairov 1558
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 20% vs Khairov 40%
Khairov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 50% vs Khairov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk -2 · Khairov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 2.00 / Khairov 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Khairov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166194
Martyniuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Khairov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMartyniuk2wins
AwayKhairov7wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKhairov leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk40%2 of 5
AwayKhairov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk5Khairov4n = 9Martyniuk took 5 of 9
S2Martyniuk5Khairov4n = 9Martyniuk took 5 of 9
S3Martyniuk1Khairov8n = 9Khairov took 8 of 9
S4Martyniuk2Khairov4n = 6Khairov took 4 of 6
S5Martyniuk1Khairov3n = 4Khairov took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricMartyniukKhairovM − KBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.141.1−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 332 vs 202 / 42552.7%47.5%175 / 332 vs 202 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovMartyniuk 2.00/Khairov 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 26 · 06:05A. Martyniuk2581250D. Khairov361114113
WAug 25 · 14:40A. Martyniuk46121182133D. Khairov501071111112
LAug 20 · 06:05A. Martyniuk2889110D. Khairov351111133
LJun 8 · 06:05A. Martyniuk30117751D. Khairov3741111113
LMar 19 · 10:00A. Martyniuk4612991152D. Khairov491011116113
LNov 9 · 11:05A. Martyniuk32711861D. Khairov4211911113
LOct 30 · 15:50A. Martyniuk43711411102D. Khairov50118118123
LFeb 4 · 12:40A. Martyniuk511111910102D. Khairov51881112123
WJan 24 · 15:50A. Martyniuk331111113D. Khairov206680
A. Martyniuk10
LSep 21 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.611181110113A. Martyniuk2.2091181292LSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570LSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662WSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:00A. Martyniuk1.5068140S. Baranskyi2.501111163WSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150
D. Khairov10
LSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113LSep 21 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.25118911133D. Khairov1.57711114112WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113LSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov1.831111113E. Populovskyi1.839340WSep 20 · 10:20A. Kotiash1.538650D. Khairov2.381111113WSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 08:20O. Osadchyi1.73821151D. Khairov2.0011117113WSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113
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