TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111181012119
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 58.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 8–6 Andrii Martyniuk Andrii Martyniuk has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1597 vs Martyniuk 1560
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Martyniuk 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Martyniuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Martyniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.61 / Martyniuk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166104
Kolesnykov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 91 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Martyniuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov6wins
AwayMartyniuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov80%4 of 5
AwayMartyniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolesnykov5Martyniuk4n = 9Kolesnykov took 5 of 9
S4Kolesnykov6Martyniuk2n = 8Kolesnykov took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovMartyniukK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.6+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 664 vs 175 / 33153.2%52.9%353 / 664 vs 175 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.61/Martyniuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov43101111113A. Martyniuk33127861
LJul 23 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov4311511882A. Martyniuk44611511113
LJul 17 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov368111161A. Martyniuk4011135113
WJun 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov511011811113A. Martyniuk4212711662
WJun 8 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov4112117113A. Martyniuk351061181
WDec 1 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov4411911133A. Martyniuk358115111
WNov 26 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov3511112113A. Martyniuk31861161
LNov 14 · 11:30V. Kolesnykov166730A. Martyniuk331111113
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113WSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.28971191O. Leonenko3.5011114113WSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113
A. Martyniuk10
LSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570LSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662WSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:00A. Martyniuk1.5068140S. Baranskyi2.501111163WSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113
Upcoming Matches
V. Kolesnykov
Nothing scheduled
A. Martyniuk
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