TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111171513611112
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 95 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 69.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 22–3 Andrii Martyniuk Andrii Martyniuk has won 3 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-3 in 25
Volkov
Correct
gap of 19 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1636 vs Martyniuk 1560
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Martyniuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Martyniuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -1 · Martyniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.33 / Martyniuk 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Volkov)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166139
Volkov1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 163 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it84% 116 of 138
Martyniuk3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov9wins
AwayMartyniuk1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov83.3%5 of 6
AwayMartyniuk0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov6Martyniuk4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S2Volkov7Martyniuk3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S3Volkov7Martyniuk3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov3Martyniuk5n = 8Martyniuk took 5 of 8
S5Volkov5Martyniuk0n = 5Volkov took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovMartyniukV − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.837.8+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 775 vs 175 / 33152.7%52.9%408 / 775 vs 175 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.33/Martyniuk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov51811156113A. Martyniuk44117131122
WAug 17 · 10:30Y. Volkov49131312113A. Martyniuk4411111481
WAug 11 · 11:30Y. Volkov4211911113A. Martyniuk25611351
WApr 25 · 08:35Y. Volkov331111113A. Martyniuk157170
WApr 24 · 16:10Y. Volkov511113106113A. Martyniuk48811121162
LApr 16 · 16:40Y. Volkov321110741A. Martyniuk3841211113
WApr 13 · 06:35Y. Volkov47771111113A. Martyniuk4511115992
WApr 12 · 08:05Y. Volkov559111113113A. Martyniuk4811891552
WNov 11 · 11:35Y. Volkov351311113A. Martyniuk2311930
WNov 9 · 08:05Y. Volkov538111111123A. Martyniuk48118613102
Y. Volkov10
LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113WSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 19 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.80119116122I. Efimenko1.91911811143WSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221WSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492LSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570LSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662WSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:00A. Martyniuk1.5068140S. Baranskyi2.501111163WSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113WSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113
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