TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1178119111141311
Dmytro Khairov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 96 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 63.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 3–4 Dmytro Khairov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Khairov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1560 vs Khairov 1579
Khairov
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 60% vs Khairov 80%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 50% vs Khairov 70%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov -1 · Khairov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Khairov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 2.25 / Khairov 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Khairov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166197
Bilobrov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 24 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Khairov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBilobrov3wins
AwayKhairov4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKhairov leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKhairov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov3Khairov4n = 7Khairov took 4 of 7
S2Bilobrov2Khairov5n = 7Khairov took 5 of 7
S3Bilobrov0Khairov7n = 7Khairov took 7 of 7
S4Bilobrov3Khairov1n = 4Bilobrov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricBilobrovKhairovB − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match30.935.9−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 169 vs 202 / 42345.6%47.8%77 / 169 vs 202 / 423Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovBilobrov 2.25/Khairov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 31 · 05:30V. Bilobrov2248100D. Khairov341111123
WJul 20 · 11:35V. Bilobrov43111110113D. Khairov28681221
LJun 8 · 09:35V. Bilobrov28128531D. Khairov43101111113
LJun 7 · 10:35V. Bilobrov2051140D. Khairov351113113
LMay 25 · 06:30V. Bilobrov158610D. Khairov331111113
WMay 21 · 08:35V. Bilobrov44114711113D. Khairov3971111462
WSep 6 · 08:00V. Bilobrov44311811113D. Khairov3911511662
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 21 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3656100V. Bilobrov3.001111123LSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570WSep 18 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.20116611113O. Karpenko1.6141111572LSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.751111113A. Troyan1.409580WSep 18 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.337640V. Bilobrov3.251111113LSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.502950A. Troyan1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112
D. Khairov10
WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113LSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov1.831111113E. Populovskyi1.839340WSep 20 · 10:20A. Kotiash1.538650D. Khairov2.381111113WSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 08:20O. Osadchyi1.73821151D. Khairov2.0011117113WSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113
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