TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111012––––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 55 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 71.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 13–5 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Volkov
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1636 vs Bilobrov 1571
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Bilobrov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Bilobrov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Bilobrov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.36 / Bilobrov 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Volkov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166106
Volkov1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 163 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it84% 116 of 138
Bilobrov3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 24 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov7wins
AwayBilobrov3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%4 of 4
AwayBilobrov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Bilobrov6n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S2Volkov6Bilobrov4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S3Volkov7Bilobrov3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov6Bilobrov1n = 7Volkov took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovBilobrovV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.233.6+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 775 vs 78 / 17052.7%45.9%408 / 775 vs 78 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.36/Bilobrov 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov4111811113V. Bilobrov35911781
LSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov4271112752V. Bilobrov511181011113
WSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov4131116113V. Bilobrov391161481
WAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov3911611113V. Bilobrov36911971
LAug 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov207580V. Bilobrov331111113
WAug 17 · 07:30Y. Volkov43111110113V. Bilobrov33771271
WAug 11 · 10:00Y. Volkov4291111113V. Bilobrov29119631
LAug 10 · 07:35Y. Volkov205690V. Bilobrov331111113
WAug 7 · 07:05Y. Volkov341112113V. Bilobrov2681080
WAug 4 · 06:05Y. Volkov4071111113V. Bilobrov21114511
Y. Volkov10
WSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113WSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 19 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.80119116122I. Efimenko1.91911811143WSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221WSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492LSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 21 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.25118911133D. Khairov1.57711114112LSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570WSep 18 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.20116611113O. Karpenko1.6141111572LSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.751111113A. Troyan1.409580WSep 18 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.337640V. Bilobrov3.251111113LSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.502950A. Troyan1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112
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