TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Volynets vs Andrii Martyniuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11791110121113––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 16–7 Andrii Martyniuk Andrii Martyniuk has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1447 vs Martyniuk 1537
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 60% vs Martyniuk 20%
Volynets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 50% vs Martyniuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -1 · Martyniuk -4
Martyniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.80 / Martyniuk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Martyniuk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13172933
Volynets1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 72 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it64% 44 of 69
Martyniuk1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 19 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets6wins
AwayMartyniuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets75%3 of 4
AwayMartyniuk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets4Martyniuk6n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S2Volynets5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Volynets5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Volynets4Martyniuk3n = 7Volynets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsMartyniukV − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.037.8+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 606 vs 176 / 33553.8%52.5%326 / 606 vs 176 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukVolynets 1.80/Martyniuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 07:00O. Volynets4111910111A. Martyniuk4371112133
LAug 26 · 08:05O. Volynets24511261A. Martyniuk3911611113
LAug 20 · 08:05O. Volynets195860A. Martyniuk331111113
WAug 14 · 06:20O. Volynets53712129133A. Martyniuk5311101011112
WJun 8 · 07:05O. Volynets371112143A. Martyniuk29710120
LApr 25 · 11:35O. Volynets2712690A. Martyniuk361411113
WApr 24 · 10:40O. Volynets4181111113A. Martyniuk29117651
WApr 16 · 11:10O. Volynets5511111011123A. Martyniuk46136125102
WApr 12 · 06:05O. Volynets44111012113A. Martyniuk345121071
WMar 19 · 06:30O. Volynets3911511123A. Martyniuk368117101
O. Volynets10
LSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113LSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123WSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113WSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192
A. Martyniuk10
LSep 22 · 05:30A. Martyniuk3.756950V. Bilobrov1.251111113LSep 21 · 11:30A. Martyniuk2.0011113472D. Khairov1.73671111113LSep 21 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.611181110113A. Martyniuk2.2091181292LSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570LSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662WSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632
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