TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111151012––
Valerii Kolesnykov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Valerii Kolesnykov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 15–18 Valerii Kolesnykov Yurii Volkov has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1619 vs Kolesnykov 1606
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 40% vs Kolesnykov 80%
Kolesnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Kolesnykov 70%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -1 · Kolesnykov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnykov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.61 / Kolesnykov 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Volkov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166206
Volkov1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 163 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it84% 116 of 138
Kolesnykov2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back32% 12 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov6wins
AwayKolesnykov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov75%3 of 4
AwayKolesnykov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Kolesnykov6n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S2Volkov5Kolesnykov5n = 10split evenly
S3Volkov6Kolesnykov4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov4Kolesnykov3n = 7Volkov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKolesnykovV − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.635.3+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKolesnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 776 vs 354 / 66552.6%53.2%408 / 776 vs 354 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.61/Kolesnykov 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 11:05Y. Volkov351311113V. Kolesnykov2611870
WJul 27 · 08:05Y. Volkov331111113V. Kolesnykov214890
LJul 20 · 11:05Y. Volkov2284100V. Kolesnykov341111123
WJul 13 · 05:35Y. Volkov4211911113V. Kolesnykov30511681
LJun 29 · 09:00Y. Volkov335711101V. Kolesnykov4011116123
WJun 26 · 12:05Y. Volkov473111011123V. Kolesnykov42113126102
LJun 23 · 10:30Y. Volkov31781151V. Kolesnykov4011117113
WJun 22 · 04:30Y. Volkov4491113113V. Kolesnykov381171191
LJun 16 · 10:30Y. Volkov33137581V. Kolesnykov44111111113
WMay 7 · 09:35Y. Volkov46811511113V. Kolesnykov3811311852
Y. Volkov10
LSep 21 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3656100V. Bilobrov3.001111123WSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113WSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 19 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.80119116122I. Efimenko1.91911811143WSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221WSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492LSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 21 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.611181110113A. Martyniuk2.2091181292LSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113WSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.28971191O. Leonenko3.5011114113WSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101
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