TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Volkov vs Oleh Volynets 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113611114118911
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 56–79 Oleh Volynets Yurii Volkov has won 56 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volynets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-79 in 135
Volynets
Correct
gap of 23 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1621 vs Volynets 1429
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Volynets 20%
Volkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Volynets 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -1 · Volynets -4
Volynets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.91 / Volynets 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13172343
Volkov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Volynets1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 72 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it64% 44 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov6wins
AwayVolynets4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov80%4 of 5
AwayVolynets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S2Volkov6Volynets4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S3Volkov6Volynets4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov3Volynets4n = 7Volynets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovVolynetsVolkov − VolynetsBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.734.3+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 777 vs 326 / 60852.5%53.6%408 / 777 vs 326 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.91/Volynets 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 07:30Y. Volkov43101111113O. Volynets36128971
LAug 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov378101181O. Volynets3811124113
LAug 8 · 07:05Y. Volkov34911591O. Volynets3711411113
WAug 7 · 05:05Y. Volkov51914116113O. Volynets48111261182
WJul 9 · 06:30Y. Volkov331111113O. Volynets194780
LJul 7 · 15:10Y. Volkov183780O. Volynets331111113
WJul 3 · 10:05Y. Volkov4211911113O. Volynets33711961
WJun 30 · 15:40Y. Volkov331111113O. Volynets156540
LJun 1 · 09:05Y. Volkov34137861O. Volynets44111111113
WMay 26 · 10:40Y. Volkov4212136113O. Volynets4010111181
Y. Volkov10
LSep 22 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4076110A. Martyniuk2.751111133WSep 22 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.531113119113V. Bilobrov2.3881581122WSep 22 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.7371211113A. Troyan2.001110481WSep 22 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.6781111113Y. Kovshun2.10119651LSep 21 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.618911101V. Kolesnykov2.2011115123LSep 21 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3656100V. Bilobrov3.001111123WSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113WSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 19 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.80119116122I. Efimenko1.91911811143
O. Volynets10
LSep 22 · 09:30O. Volynets3.008860V. Bilobrov1.361111113LSep 22 · 08:30O. Volynets1.837690Y. Kovshun1.831111113LSep 22 · 07:00O. Volynets1.8011910111A. Martyniuk1.9171112133LSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113LSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123WSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113WSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123
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