TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Orest Melnik vs Denys Kozoriz 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Orest Melnik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111315511––––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOrest Melnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOrest Melnik above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Orest Melnik at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Orest Melnik 29–16 Denys Kozoriz Denys Kozoriz has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Melnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-16 in 45
Melnik
Wrong
gap of 13 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1238 vs Kozoriz 1387
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 60% vs Kozoriz 40%
Melnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 50% vs Kozoriz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik +1 · Kozoriz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.73 / Kozoriz 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kozoriz)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13179533
Melnik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 48 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Kozoriz2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 30 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik6wins
AwayKozoriz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMelnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik80%4 of 5
AwayKozoriz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik5Kozoriz5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnik7Kozoriz3n = 10Melnik took 7 of 10
S3Melnik6Kozoriz4n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S4Melnik5Kozoriz2n = 7Melnik took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikKozorizM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.432.5+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 368 vs 272 / 50946.2%53.4%170 / 368 vs 272 / 509Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.634.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizMelnik 1.73/Kozoriz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:25O. Melnik2351350D. Kozoriz371115113
WSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik361211133D. Kozoriz30109110
LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik4111113792D. Kozoriz33001111113
WSep 1 · 14:55O. Melnik3961111113D. Kozoriz26118251
WAug 12 · 06:25O. Melnik4311155123D. Kozoriz4171311101
LAug 11 · 15:25O. Melnik27511471D. Kozoriz3911611113
LApr 7 · 13:55O. Melnik47107111182D. Kozoriz40121160113
WNov 26 · 07:25O. Melnik331111113D. Kozoriz208480
WNov 25 · 19:55O. Melnik44111111113D. Kozoriz26137241
WNov 5 · 14:55O. Melnik4111811113D. Kozoriz33811861
O. Melnik10
WSep 23 · 05:25V. Hel1.4410760O. Melnik2.631211113LSep 22 · 18:25O. Melnik2.006890D. Kasian1.731111113LSep 22 · 16:25V. Hel1.571111113O. Melnik2.259640WSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik1.801211133D. Kozoriz1.91109110WSep 22 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi1.3012911942O. Melnik3.401011611113LSep 22 · 12:55O. Melnik6.506690K. Tkachenko1.101111113WSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961LSep 17 · 16:55V. Kheresko2.00101411113O. Melnik1.731212421WSep 17 · 14:55M. Treschetka3.40117111272O. Melnik1.30711714113LSep 17 · 13:55O. Melnik1.30159110O. Maksymkiv3.401711133
D. Kozoriz10
LSep 23 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2551211123D. Kozoriz1.5711102101LSep 22 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.80911811103D. Kozoriz1.9111611832WSep 22 · 17:25D. Kozoriz1.44611511133D. Kasian2.63118116112LSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik1.801211133D. Kozoriz1.91109110WSep 22 · 13:25V. Hel2.388111161D. Kozoriz1.5311138113WSep 22 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi2.3811119592D. Kozoriz1.53771111113WSep 9 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv3.75521171D. Kozoriz1.2511117113LSep 9 · 09:55D. Kozoriz1.8091120A. Didyk1.911113113WSep 9 · 07:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.36411851D. Kozoriz3.0011611113WSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.