TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lubos Forman vs Milan Smesny 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Lubos Forman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191210411311117
Milan Smesny
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMilan Smesny to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubos Forman above · Milan Smesny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Milan Smesny at 61.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Forman 9–14 Milan Smesny Lubos Forman has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Smesny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Smesny
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Forman 1149 vs Smesny 1226
Smesny
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Forman 40% vs Smesny 60%
Smesny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Forman 30% vs Smesny 80%
Smesny
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Forman -3 · Smesny +1
Forman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Smesny) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsForman 2.00 / Smesny 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Smesny)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176809
Forman2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 16) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 10 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Smesny1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 48 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeForman5wins
AwaySmesny5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeForman83.3%5 of 6
AwaySmesny100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Forman6Smesny4n = 10Forman took 6 of 10
S2Forman5Smesny5n = 10split evenly
S3Forman3Smesny7n = 10Smesny took 7 of 10
S4Forman3Smesny3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFormanSmesnyF − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.535.8−4.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFormanSmesnyBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 383 vs 189 / 36249.9%52.2%191 / 383 vs 189 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmesnyForman 2.00/Smesny 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Smesny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Forman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 06:00L. Forman41111243113M. Smesny48910111172
WJul 22 · 09:28L. Forman351311113M. Smesny2411670
LJul 22 · 07:30L. Forman28611831M. Smesny4211911113
LJul 10 · 09:29L. Forman167360M. Smesny331111113
LJul 10 · 07:30L. Forman4211811752M. Smesny50811911113
LJun 24 · 09:30L. Forman126240M. Smesny331111113
LJun 24 · 07:30L. Forman155550M. Smesny331111113
WMay 8 · 09:07L. Forman4411139113M. Smesny357111161
WMay 8 · 08:00L. Forman4012611113M. Smesny301011271
WApr 29 · 06:00L. Forman4211119113M. Smesny30951151
L. Forman10
LSep 16 · 09:00L. Forman1.6771250J. Cernik2.101114113LSep 16 · 08:30L. Forman2.63511551A. Hejduk1.4411911113LSep 16 · 07:00L. Forman1.3013871632J. Vrba3.4011111114113WSep 16 · 06:00J. Cernik2.008760L. Forman1.731111113WSep 9 · 09:05L. Madle1.83911371L. Forman1.8311811113LSep 9 · 08:00J. Grohsgott2.00941111113L. Forman1.7311117762LSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner1.5311511113L. Forman2.38611271LSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113
M. Smesny10
WSep 21 · 13:30M. Smesny1.3511112113L. Novotny2.95871191LSep 21 · 12:30M. Smesny1.838711131J. Cernik1.8311114153WSep 21 · 11:00M. Smesny2.38614118113M. Vaclavik1.53111281172WSep 21 · 10:00L. Novotny2.638920M. Smesny1.441111113LSep 10 · 13:30M. Smesny1.8011551162J. Cernik1.90611118113WSep 10 · 12:30M. Smesny1.531111113L. Novotny2.388870WSep 10 · 11:00M. Smesny1.83711119113J. Cernik1.8311831182WSep 10 · 10:00J. Strnad3.006880M. Smesny1.361111113WSep 8 · 09:30M. Vaclavik1.4045111192M. Smesny2.75111174113WSep 8 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.57741171M. Smesny2.2511117113
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