TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marcel Heczko vs Dominik Oborny 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14126111513119––
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 91 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 57.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 46–54 Dominik Oborny Marcel Heczko has won 46 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oborny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-54 in 100
Oborny
Wrong
gap of 8 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1586 vs Oborny 1593
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Oborny 80%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Oborny 60%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Oborny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.91 / Oborny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oborny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176802
Heczko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 64 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Oborny1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 92 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it84% 80 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko4wins
AwayOborny6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOborny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko100%4 of 4
AwayOborny100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S2Heczko5Oborny5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko6Oborny4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko4Oborny4n = 8split evenly
S5Heczko1Oborny3n = 4Oborny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoObornyH − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.441.2−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 590 vs 324 / 62448.8%51.9%288 / 590 vs 324 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyHeczko 1.91/Oborny 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 07:00M. Heczko4614615113D. Oborny4512111391
LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko4261161182D. Oborny49117119113
WSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko491111610113D. Oborny4899111272
WSep 8 · 08:30M. Heczko4111118113D. Oborny34971171
LSep 7 · 09:28M. Heczko4891111892D. Oborny48116911113
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Heczko35961191D. Oborny3911116113
LAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko4278111152D. Oborny51111199113
WAug 31 · 20:00M. Heczko371113133D. Oborny26411110
LAug 30 · 17:30M. Heczko195590D. Oborny331111113
LAug 30 · 14:00M. Heczko35971181D. Oborny3911116113
M. Heczko10
LSep 23 · 06:00J. Mikula1.8311137113M. Heczko1.838111141WSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113WSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661LSep 16 · 12:00M. Heczko3.40116581S. Kysely1.3061111113LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751
D. Oborny10
LSep 23 · 06:30D. Oborny1.83119111102V. Adamczyk1.83511911123WSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113LSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620
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