TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Mikula vs Marcel Heczko 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Jiri Mikula
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181311711114––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Mikula above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 71.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Mikula 1–0 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1529 vs Heczko 1573
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 0% vs Heczko 60%
Heczko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 20% vs Heczko 40%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -6 · Heczko +2
Mikula
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.83 / Heczko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176801
Mikula1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 129 days ago (May 17) · back after a break
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Heczko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMikula1wins
AwayHeczko0wins
Mikula leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMikulaHeczkoM − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.034.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 94 vs 287 / 58947.9%48.7%45 / 94 vs 287 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoMikula 1.83/Heczko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 23 · 06:00J. Mikula4211137113M. Heczko348111141
J. Mikula10
LMay 17 · 09:05D. Machander1.83712119113J. Mikula1.83111091192LMay 17 · 08:30J. Mikula1.731113113132D. Machander2.00815911153LMay 17 · 07:00J. Mikula2.1012711932E. Rychlik1.671011911113LMay 17 · 06:00R. Skacelik2.6311115113J. Mikula1.44361181LMay 15 · 09:30J. Snr1.6114611183J. Mikula2.2012116161LMay 15 · 08:30F. Laburda1.6712135113J. Mikula2.1010111181WMay 15 · 07:30J. Mikula3.001311119113J. Snr1.3615521172WMay 15 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.258870J. Mikula1.571111113LMay 8 · 20:58T. Kypr1.401111113J. Mikula2.757460LMay 8 · 20:30J. Mikula1.6771271182L. Martinak2.101110116113
M. Heczko10
WSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113WSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661LSep 16 · 12:00M. Heczko3.40116581S. Kysely1.3061111113LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650
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