TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dominik Oborny vs Vladimir Adamczyk 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159111191111012
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 90 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 5–7 Vladimir Adamczyk Dominik Oborny has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Adamczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1593 vs Adamczyk 1564
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 100% vs Adamczyk 80%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 60% vs Adamczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +5 · Adamczyk +1
Oborny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.83 / Adamczyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamczyk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176756
Oborny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Adamczyk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny5wins
AwayAdamczyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny71.4%5 of 7
AwayAdamczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny7Adamczyk3n = 10Oborny took 7 of 10
S2Oborny5Adamczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Oborny6Adamczyk4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S4Oborny4Adamczyk5n = 9Adamczyk took 5 of 9
S5Oborny1Adamczyk3n = 4Adamczyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyAdamczykO − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.2+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 624 vs 109 / 19851.9%55.1%324 / 624 vs 109 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykOborny 1.83/Adamczyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:30D. Oborny42119111102V. Adamczyk48511911123
LSep 17 · 19:00D. Oborny4181111111V. Adamczyk4311136133
WAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny44111210113V. Adamczyk377101281
WAug 24 · 08:30D. Oborny4111118113V. Adamczyk26451161
LAug 19 · 18:00D. Oborny4688111182V. Adamczyk49111197113
WAug 5 · 20:58D. Oborny331111113V. Adamczyk195590
WAug 5 · 19:00D. Oborny4011117113V. Adamczyk31841181
WJun 8 · 19:00D. Oborny48135117123V. Adamczyk511111811102
LJun 7 · 08:00D. Oborny33118771V. Adamczyk3961111113
LMay 13 · 20:00D. Oborny5171317592V. Adamczyk5911111511113
D. Oborny10
LSep 23 · 07:00M. Heczko1.9114615113D. Oborny1.8012111391WSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113LSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620
V. Adamczyk10
LSep 23 · 07:30V. Adamczyk1.8375111192J. Mikula1.83111199113WSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113LSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111WSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162WSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151LSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 12:59P. Slavik1.80118117123V. Adamczyk1.91711611102
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