TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114511118115––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 66 set 4, 11-5
66 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 2–2 Vojtech Cerny Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Oborny beat Cerny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 2.00 / Cerny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Cerny)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13166710
Oborny2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 48 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Cerny1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 24 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOborny2wins
AwayCerny2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny2Cerny2n = 4split evenly
S2Oborny1Cerny3n = 4Cerny took 3 of 4
S3Oborny2Cerny1n = 3Oborny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricObornyCernyO − CBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.330.3+2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 621 vs 53 / 10552%50.5%323 / 621 vs 53 / 105Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyOborny 2.00/Cerny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny371111153V. Cerny2786130
LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny174850V. Cerny331111113
WJun 3 · 06:00D. Oborny43111011113V. Cerny31612491
D. Oborny10
WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113LSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620LSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070
V. Cerny10
LSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113WSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142WSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113
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