TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kaganovych vs Anton Yakovenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1168116111210611
Anton Yakovenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Anton Yakovenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Anton Yakovenko at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 18–21 Anton Yakovenko Vitalii Kaganovych has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yakovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-21 in 39
Yakovenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1432 vs Yakovenko 1438
Yakovenko
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 60% vs Yakovenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 30% vs Yakovenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +1 · Yakovenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Yakovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 2.10 / Yakovenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Yakovenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173659
Kaganovych2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Yakovenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych3wins
AwayYakovenko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderYakovenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYakovenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych2Yakovenko8n = 10Yakovenko took 8 of 10
S2Kaganovych3Yakovenko7n = 10Yakovenko took 7 of 10
S3Kaganovych5Yakovenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kaganovych0Yakovenko3n = 3Yakovenko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychYakovenkoK − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.333.5−4.2per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychYakovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 553 vs 237 / 47061.5%50.4%340 / 553 vs 237 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakovenkoKaganovych 2.10/Yakovenko 1.67
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Yakovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych193880A. Yakovenko331111113
LJul 22 · 13:55V. Kaganovych31941171A. Yakovenko4211119113
LJul 20 · 16:25V. Kaganovych269890A. Yakovenko331111113
LJul 10 · 16:25V. Kaganovych248880A. Yakovenko331111113
WJun 30 · 17:35V. Kaganovych351111133A. Yakovenko2045110
LJun 23 · 19:05V. Kaganovych249690A. Yakovenko331111113
LMay 20 · 19:55V. Kaganovych32841191A. Yakovenko3811115113
WMar 3 · 20:35V. Kaganovych331111113A. Yakovenko189630
LFeb 9 · 19:25V. Kaganovych1711060A. Yakovenko341112113
WFeb 4 · 17:05V. Kaganovych526111211123A. Yakovenko511171013102
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:25V. Kaganovych1.6711128113A. Lifanov2.106101191LSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.611210118113V. Slabyshev2.20101221192LSep 21 · 16:05A. Lifanov2.101111113V. Kaganovych1.679990LSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892LSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961LSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113LSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 22 · 16:55A. Yakovenko1.4411981162I. Yelfimov2.63911119113WSep 22 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.7359111162A. Yakovenko2.00111197113WSep 22 · 14:25A. Yakovenko1.6711511113V. Hainiuk2.10811961LSep 15 · 19:05A. Yakovenko1.808490A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113WSep 15 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.3381111123I. Elfemov3.251148101LSep 15 · 15:05F. Chashchin3.4081111113A. Yakovenko1.30119481LSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113
Upcoming Matches
V. Kaganovych
Nothing scheduled
A. Yakovenko
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