TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 56.6%
60 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 15–24 Vitalii Kaganovych Andrii Lifanov has won 15 of their 39 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:15What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kaganovych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-24 in 39
Kaganovych
Wrong
gap of 9 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1470 vs Kaganovych 1437
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 80% vs Kaganovych 20%
Lifanov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 70% vs Kaganovych 50%
Lifanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov +2 · Kaganovych -4
Kaganovych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaganovych) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 2.10 / Kaganovych 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kaganovych)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13166883
Lifanov2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Kaganovych1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 126 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it84% 88 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLifanov3wins
AwayKaganovych7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov16.7%1 of 6
AwayKaganovych50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov6Kaganovych4n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S2Lifanov5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S3Lifanov4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Lifanov2Kaganovych7n = 9Kaganovych took 7 of 9
S5Lifanov2Kaganovych4n = 6Kaganovych took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLifanovKaganovychL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.043.2−4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 388 vs 339 / 54955.9%61.8%217 / 388 vs 339 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychLifanov 2.10/Kaganovych 1.67
Miss
What we said
54.4%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 12:35A. Lifanov4411911942V. Kaganovych49911711113
LSep 1 · 15:55A. Lifanov4081111101V. Kaganovych4411813123
WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov52811119133V. Kaganovych46115811112
LAug 10 · 16:25A. Lifanov21122251V. Kaganovych43101111113
LAug 3 · 18:05A. Lifanov2481060V. Kaganovych341112113
WJul 31 · 19:55A. Lifanov44511116113V. Kaganovych3811271172
WJul 27 · 13:55A. Lifanov4011117113V. Kaganovych35981171
LJul 22 · 14:55A. Lifanov4212211892V. Kaganovych451011211113
LJul 14 · 19:25A. Lifanov3711115642V. Kaganovych48691111113
LJul 10 · 20:25A. Lifanov4611891172V. Kaganovych50811119113
A. Lifanov10
WSep 21 · 17:05I. Yelfimov2.50611841A. Lifanov1.5011611113WSep 21 · 15:05V. Sharpai1.8395111232A. Lifanov1.831111810113WSep 21 · 13:35A. Lifanov1.4411117113V. Hainiuk2.63771161LSep 17 · 19:55A. Lifanov1.83791114112V. Sharpai1.831111312133WSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401161211143I. Elfemov2.75411145122LSep 17 · 15:55O. Korobov1.8051111113A. Lifanov1.91117541WSep 17 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.44911129133V. Hainiuk2.631191011112WSep 16 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.6751050A. Lifanov2.101112113WSep 16 · 18:54V. Slabyshev1.836111231A. Lifanov1.8311714113
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892LSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961LSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113LSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113WSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871WSep 15 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.61911711113A. Lifanov2.2011911942WSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372LSep 14 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.001112113V. Kaganovych1.7371060
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