TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117711116––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 65.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 27–18 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-18 in 45
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1451 vs Hainiuk 1394
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 60% vs Hainiuk 20%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 50% vs Hainiuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov -1 · Hainiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lifanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 1.44 / Hainiuk 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lifanov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166338
Lifanov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 91 of 109
Hainiuk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLifanov7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov100%5 of 5
AwayHainiuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Lifanov8Hainiuk2n = 10Lifanov took 8 of 10
S3Lifanov7Hainiuk3n = 10Lifanov took 7 of 10
S4Lifanov2Hainiuk1n = 3Lifanov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLifanovHainiukL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.433.0+2.4per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 389 vs 366 / 67455.8%54.3%217 / 389 vs 366 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovLifanov 1.44/Hainiuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 14:25A. Lifanov54911129133V. Hainiuk521191011112
LSep 15 · 14:35A. Lifanov2449110V. Hainiuk351111133
WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov391711113V. Hainiuk2815670
WAug 25 · 15:35A. Lifanov351211123V. Hainiuk28108100
LAug 10 · 14:55A. Lifanov154650V. Hainiuk331111113
WAug 3 · 19:35A. Lifanov331111113V. Hainiuk187650
WJul 31 · 14:25A. Lifanov331111113V. Hainiuk249780
WJul 27 · 20:25A. Lifanov4291111113V. Hainiuk36119881
LJul 20 · 17:35A. Lifanov4371171172V. Hainiuk47116118113
WJul 6 · 18:05A. Lifanov361311123V. Hainiuk29118100
A. Lifanov10
LSep 17 · 19:55A. Lifanov1.83791114112V. Sharpai1.831111312133WSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401161211143I. Elfemov2.75411145122LSep 17 · 15:55O. Korobov1.8051111113A. Lifanov1.91117541WSep 17 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.44911129133V. Hainiuk2.631191011112WSep 16 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.6751050A. Lifanov2.101112113WSep 16 · 18:54V. Slabyshev1.836111231A. Lifanov1.8311714113LSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk1.5711811113A. Lifanov2.25411631LSep 16 · 15:25D. Us1.67118133113A. Lifanov2.10911111192LSep 16 · 13:24A. Peretiatko1.7311119123A. Lifanov2.008511101
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.7391111113V. Slabyshev2.00112961LSep 17 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.579560I. Elfemov2.251111113WSep 17 · 18:25O. Korobov1.40781141V. Hainiuk2.7511117113LSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.00119130V. Sharpai1.731311153LSep 17 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.44911129133V. Hainiuk2.631191011112WSep 15 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.671113113I. Elfemov2.1081160LSep 15 · 17:35F. Chashchin1.83111410113V. Hainiuk1.835121231LSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:35V. Hainiuk3.001111133A. Lifanov1.3649110
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