Ivan Yelfimov vs Andrii Lifanov 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 21Finished

Ivan Yelfimov

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

7–1Last 8Won last 6

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

611116811411––

Andrii Lifanov

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%

Graded at full time

Andrii Lifanov to win

62.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIvan Yelfimov above · Andrii Lifanov below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 68 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 62.5%

68 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:32

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Lifanov

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Yelfimov 1655 vs Lifanov 1483

Yelfimov

Wrong

both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Yelfimov 100% vs Lifanov 80%

Yelfimov

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Yelfimov 88% vs Lifanov 80%

—

Too close

8pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Yelfimov +6 · Lifanov +3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lifanov)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lifanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsYelfimov 2.50 / Lifanov 1.50

Signal prob.38% / 63%

Edge (Lifanov)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13166421

Yelfimov2.50

88%won 7 of 8 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 6

oldest → newest

75%takes the first set · 6 of 8

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Lifanov1.50

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite62% won 117 of 189

Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64

Up 1–0, closes it84% 91 of 109

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricYelfimovLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 8 vs 218 / 38987.5%56%7 / 8 vs 218 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lifanov

Yelfimov 2.50/Lifanov 1.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Lifanov · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Lifanov won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Yelfimov8