TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148368
Played Sep 18Finished
Denys Boltenkov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012911––––
Ivan Yelfimov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–1Last 2Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingDenys Boltenkov above · Ivan Yelfimov below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 66 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 50.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Denys Boltenkov 0–1 Ivan Yelfimov Denys Boltenkov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Yelfimov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Boltenkov 1291 vs Yelfimov 1484
Yelfimov
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltenkov 20% vs Yelfimov 50%
Yelfimov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltenkov 20% vs Yelfimov 50%
Yelfimov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltenkov -4 · Yelfimov -1
Boltenkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yelfimov) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltenkov 1.91 / Yelfimov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Yelfimov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13148368
Boltenkov1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Yelfimov1.80
50%won 1 of 2 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBoltenkov0wins
AwayYelfimov1wins
Yelfimov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBoltenkovYelfimovB − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.036.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltenkovYelfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 40 vs 4 / 550%80%20 / 40 vs 4 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YelfimovBoltenkov 1.91/Yelfimov 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Yelfimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yelfimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 18 · 16:05D. Boltenkov30111090I. Yelfimov361312113
D. Boltenkov10
LSep 18 · 19:05D. Boltenkov1.301661191A. Azarov3.4018116113WSep 18 · 17:05R. Serhyenko3.009860D. Boltenkov1.361111113LSep 18 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.38111194113D. Boltenkov1.5383111152LSep 18 · 13:35D. Boltenkov1.8011691172V. Chumak1.91311119113LSep 17 · 19:05Y. Bielokon2.75119411113D. Boltenkov1.4041111732LSep 17 · 18:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113D. Boltenkov1.449790WSep 17 · 16:35V. Leonov2.38115891D. Boltenkov1.5381111113LSep 17 · 14:35V. Chumak2.2512811113D. Boltenkov1.571011941WSep 17 · 12:35A. Azarov3.0013590D. Boltenkov1.361511113LSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113
I. Yelfimov4
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