TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142842
Played Sep 17Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114911411117113
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 82 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 70.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 1–4 Denys Boltenkov Yevhen Bielokon has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Boltenkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Boltenkov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1287 vs Boltenkov 1384
Boltenkov
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 80% vs Boltenkov 40%
Bielokon
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 60% vs Boltenkov 40%
Bielokon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -1 · Boltenkov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Boltenkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.75 / Boltenkov 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Boltenkov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142842
Bielokon2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Boltenkov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 14 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBielokon1wins
AwayBoltenkov4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBoltenkov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon1Boltenkov4n = 5Boltenkov took 4 of 5
S2Bielokon2Boltenkov3n = 5Boltenkov took 3 of 5
S3Bielokon3Boltenkov2n = 5Bielokon took 3 of 5
S4Bielokon2Boltenkov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricBielokonBoltenkovBielokon − BoltenkovBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match36.041.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 554 vs 19 / 3447.5%55.9%263 / 554 vs 19 / 34Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovBielokon 2.75/Boltenkov 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2451090D. Boltenkov341112113
LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon4081111462D. Boltenkov46115811113
LAug 27 · 13:55Y. Bielokon4491151182D. Boltenkov48119116113
LAug 26 · 17:05Y. Bielokon344812101D. Boltenkov44111110123
WAug 21 · 13:35Y. Bielokon3811511113D. Boltenkov33711871
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 17 · 17:05A. Azarov1.80111117113Y. Bielokon1.9161181132WSep 17 · 16:05Y. Bielokon1.8371211113V. Sydorenko1.831110391WSep 17 · 15:05V. Leonov2.255930Y. Bielokon1.571111113WSep 17 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.38101111123V. Chumak1.531248101WSep 11 · 18:35I. Elfemov1.409111161Y. Bielokon2.7511135113LSep 11 · 17:35Y. Bielokon3.409260V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 15:05Y. Bielokon1.441111371R. Serhyenko2.6313711113WSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100WSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990
D. Boltenkov10
LSep 17 · 18:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113D. Boltenkov1.449790WSep 17 · 16:35V. Leonov2.38115891D. Boltenkov1.5381111113LSep 17 · 14:35V. Chumak2.2512811113D. Boltenkov1.571011941WSep 17 · 12:35A. Azarov3.0013590D. Boltenkov1.361511113LSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113LSep 10 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.6731115113D. Boltenkov2.101121361LSep 10 · 16:25I. Elfemov2.001121113113D. Boltenkov1.7391181552LSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113WSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113
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