TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Yelfimov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–1Last 5Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210117––––
Vadym Slabyshev
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–3Last 4Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Yelfimov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Yelfimov above · Vadym Slabyshev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Yelfimov at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yelfimov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Yelfimov 1563 vs Slabyshev 1282
Yelfimov
Correct
both rated, 281 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yelfimov 80% vs Slabyshev 25%
Yelfimov
Correct
55pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yelfimov 80% vs Slabyshev 25%
Yelfimov
Correct
55pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yelfimov +3 · Slabyshev +1
Yelfimov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yelfimov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slabyshev form (25%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYelfimov 1.73 / Slabyshev 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yelfimov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166360
Yelfimov1.73
80%won 4 of 5 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 4 of 5
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Slabyshev2.00
25%won 1 of 4 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 4
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYelfimovSlabyshevBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 1 / 580%20%4 / 5 vs 1 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.61.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.433.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YelfimovYelfimov 1.73/Slabyshev 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Yelfimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yelfimov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Yelfimov5
V. Slabyshev5
Upcoming Matches
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